Free Webinar: MARCOS LÓPEZ DE PRADO: ML Solutions to Bias-Variance Dilemma
Webinar
Wednesday, June 3, 2020 - 06:30 PM
Until: Wednesday, June 3, 2020 - 08:30 PM
(Adjusted for timezone: Europe/London)
Categories
PLEASE NOTE THAT THIS WEBINAR WILL START ON WEDNESDAY, 3 JUNE, 2020, AT 6:30 PM ***LONDON TIME*** (01.30 PM ***EDT***)
TITLE: Machine Learning Solutions to the Bias-Variance Dilemma
ABSTRACT:
Classical statistics (e.g., Econometrics) relies on assumptions that are often unrealistic in finance. Two critical assumptions are that the researcher has perfect knowledge about the model’s specification, and that the researcher knows all the variables involved in a phenomenon (including all interaction effects). When those assumptions are incorrect, classical estimators are not guaranteed to be unbiased, or to be the most efficient among the unbiased, leading to poor performance. In this presentation we explore why machine learning algorithms are generally more appropriate for financial datasets, how they outperform classical estimators, and how they solve the bias-variance dilemma.
BIOGRAPHY
Prof. Marcos López de Prado is the CIO of True Positive Technologies (TPT), and Professor of Practice at Cornell University’s School of Engineering. He has over 20 years of experience developing investment strategies with the help of machine learning algorithms and supercomputers. Marcos launched TPT after he sold some of his patents to AQR Capital Management, where he was a principal and AQR’s first head of machine learning. TPT is currently engaged by clients with a combined AUM in excess of $1 trillion. Marcos also founded and led Guggenheim Partners’ Quantitative Investment Strategies business, where he managed up to $13 billion in assets, and delivered an audited risk-adjusted return (information ratio) of 2.3.
Concurrently with the management of investments, since 2011 Marcos has been a research fellow at Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Science). He has published dozens of scientific articles on machine learning and supercomputing in the leading academic journals, is a founding co-editor of The Journal of Financial Data Science, has testified before the U.S. Congress on AI policy, and SSRN ranks him as the most-read author in economics. Marcos is the author of several graduate textbooks, including Advances in Financial Machine Learning (Wiley, 2018) and Machine Learning for Asset Managers (Cambridge University Press, 2020).
Marcos earned a PhD in financial economics (2003), a second PhD in mathematical finance (2011) from Universidad Complutense de Madrid, and is a recipient of Spain's National Award for Academic Excellence (1999). He completed his post-doctoral research at Harvard University and Cornell University, where he is a faculty member. Marcos has an Erdős #2 according to the American Mathematical Society, and in 2019, he received the ‘Quant of the Year Award’ from The Journal of Portfolio Management.
For more information, visit https://www.meetup.com/thalesians/events/270360848/
TITLE: Machine Learning Solutions to the Bias-Variance Dilemma
ABSTRACT:
Classical statistics (e.g., Econometrics) relies on assumptions that are often unrealistic in finance. Two critical assumptions are that the researcher has perfect knowledge about the model’s specification, and that the researcher knows all the variables involved in a phenomenon (including all interaction effects). When those assumptions are incorrect, classical estimators are not guaranteed to be unbiased, or to be the most efficient among the unbiased, leading to poor performance. In this presentation we explore why machine learning algorithms are generally more appropriate for financial datasets, how they outperform classical estimators, and how they solve the bias-variance dilemma.
BIOGRAPHY
Prof. Marcos López de Prado is the CIO of True Positive Technologies (TPT), and Professor of Practice at Cornell University’s School of Engineering. He has over 20 years of experience developing investment strategies with the help of machine learning algorithms and supercomputers. Marcos launched TPT after he sold some of his patents to AQR Capital Management, where he was a principal and AQR’s first head of machine learning. TPT is currently engaged by clients with a combined AUM in excess of $1 trillion. Marcos also founded and led Guggenheim Partners’ Quantitative Investment Strategies business, where he managed up to $13 billion in assets, and delivered an audited risk-adjusted return (information ratio) of 2.3.
Concurrently with the management of investments, since 2011 Marcos has been a research fellow at Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Science). He has published dozens of scientific articles on machine learning and supercomputing in the leading academic journals, is a founding co-editor of The Journal of Financial Data Science, has testified before the U.S. Congress on AI policy, and SSRN ranks him as the most-read author in economics. Marcos is the author of several graduate textbooks, including Advances in Financial Machine Learning (Wiley, 2018) and Machine Learning for Asset Managers (Cambridge University Press, 2020).
Marcos earned a PhD in financial economics (2003), a second PhD in mathematical finance (2011) from Universidad Complutense de Madrid, and is a recipient of Spain's National Award for Academic Excellence (1999). He completed his post-doctoral research at Harvard University and Cornell University, where he is a faculty member. Marcos has an Erdős #2 according to the American Mathematical Society, and in 2019, he received the ‘Quant of the Year Award’ from The Journal of Portfolio Management.
For more information, visit https://www.meetup.com/thalesians/events/270360848/