Daily Analysis – Equities Advance, Oil Slips

SamTrader1

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Equities

Asian markets enjoyed another day of sizable gains, with the Hang Seng once again leading the pack, posting gains of 1.4%. Both the Nikkei and Shanghai Composite rose .9%. South Korea’s Kospi stood alone, dropping 1.2% as LG shares sank more than 5%, weighing on the index.

European shares ended mixed, as the FTSE eased .1%, while other European markets rallied. HSBC shares tumbled after the company cut profit forecasts, pulling down the FTSE. The Dax ended 1.2% higher, and the CAC40 rose 1%.

US indices rose, this time with the Dow leading the gains, as the index rose 96 points to 12226. The S&P gained .6%, while the Nasdaq ended just fractionally higher.

Salesforce.com shares dropped 4.7%, while Humana shares rallied 3.9%. Amazon shares fell more than 2%, after being downgraded by UBS.

Treasuries and Commodities

Bonds closed little changed, as investors await this week’s economic data. 10-year notes ended down 1/32 to yield 3.42%, while 30-year notes rose 2/32 to yield 4.49%.

Oil dropped 1% to 96.90, as Saudi officials confirmed they had increased output to compensate for the loss in supply tied to Libya. Natural gas rose .7% while gasoline dipped .6%.

Silver gained an impressive 2.6%, closing at 33.755, and copper rallied 1% to 4.4795. Gold’s allure waned, with prices rising just .2% to 1411.90.

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Silver Continues to Rally Strongly

Cotton jumped 7.2%, hitting the daily limit, as data showed a drop of 6% in China’s cotton supply.

Currencies

The US dollar was mixed on Monday, with sizable losses against the Canadian Dollar and Pound. The CAD gained .6% as GDP data exceeded analyst estimates, extending Friday’s gains. The Pound climbed .8% to 1.6260, and the Euro rose .4% . The dollar posted narrow gains of .1% against the Swiss Franc and Australian Dollar, and rose .2% agains the yen.

Economic Outlook

The increase in oil supply from Saudi Arabia has helped calm world markets, but that is merely a band-aid to the overall Middle East issues.

Pending Home Sales fell 2.8%, significantly more than expected (2.2%), as the housing market continues to show weakness, even as the economy slowly recovers. On a brighter note, Chicago PMI rose to 71.2, better than forecast, and Personal Income rose more than double analyst estimates (1% vs. .4%).

Tuesday’s reports will include the ISM Manufacturing Index, Auto Sales, and Construction Spending. Fed Chairman, Bernanke, will be speaking to Congress on Tuesday and Wednesday.
 
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