Recent content by OddTrader

Live Trading Competition (with Real Money and A Grand Cash Prize) Q http://gicwin.com/2014GIC.html GLOBAL GRAND PRIZE WINNER A Grand Cash Prize of $3,000.00 at the Global Final Contest iShares Asset Allocation Alpha Trading Contest iShares Asset Allocation Alpha Contest allows...

Good luck, Guys! :)

I think you're too serious about the differences between/among projections, forecasts, estimations, predictions, computations, and guesses. imo, they are all doing the same thing about some numbers in the future. Can we know which one of them provides a better and more accurate Guess (sic)?

Let's view it in this way. The existing format is maintained with No changes. However, when the Expectancy measure of individual traders are supplied. That can be a fairly valuable performance record that could be trusted by some institutional or retail investors for considering investing real...

Will try. For popularisation purpose, Guessing a number could stop many potential traders to join your game!

http://www.trade2win.com/boards/indices/127036-my-s-p500-prediction-week-8.html " Strong means 2 points, and is perhaps defined according to last year's statistics. " If my understanding is correct, I think you can easily convert all your old records for the last few years into this new...

BTW, an alternative to derive expectancy is for forecasters to convert/classify/provide "Strong Up, "Up", "Down" and "Strong Down" predictions, rather than numbers. Strong means 2 points, and is perhaps defined according to last year's statistics. Guessing right will get 1 point for "UP or...

Thanks again for your feedback. Interested mainly in learning predictions of ES from you guys. :)

Thanks for your feedback. Perhaps your spreadsheets could handle a bit more calculations. One thing is I personally would like to see the expectancy of individual traders/systems in the competition, if possible. Just 2 cents. Don't worry about it too much. I think you have done a great...

I am just wondering if the competition scheme can be further improved to incorporate something more close to real trading, such as weekly loss or gain, according to the implied directions of each weekly guess/trade. Or perhaps a separate competition. TIA.

Thanks for this intersting thread. Seems probability % is not found on your C2 system. What's the Win % for your SPY trades with C2 ? Is it logical to bet more money for higher % probability? If no, Why? If yes, How? TIA.

This system is now under review. Back to the drawing board!

Hold the current position for another week.

Today add 1x Mar CL (Exp 15Feb) 102.5 Call @1.56. Total 2x Calls @2.09.

Closed 1XFeb CL (Exp17Jan) 101.5 Call @$0.07, for a loss -$1,530. Bought today 1xMar CL (Exp 15Feb) 102.5 Call @$2.62.