Recent content by cassiopeia

I notice companies who make their own market such as IG & CMC don't adjust their charts for dividends; so as soon as a stock goes ex dividend there's usually an instant drop in price on opening that day. Although they will credit or debit accounts to allow for dividends, this complicates...

That's why I'm only using short positions on margin and using UK shares for long positions. However, I think the markup was much less ~20y ago.

Even with shorter-term positions, for the same overall exposure held overnight the cost is the same. I suppose day traders can escape this. It's easy to overlook these costs. It wouldn't surprise me to find the markup is where most companies who offer spread bets & CFDs make much of their...

Finance costs for spread betting or CFDs are typically SONIA+/- 3%, that is around 8% for Long positions. Since few brokers reduce the amount borrowed by the margin deposited, interest is lost on that as well. Hence, in a high inflation economy making a real profit relative to inflation whilst...

My limited analysis going through the last 7 years consisting of about a hundred H&S bottoms and tops suggests a success rate somewhere between what Bulkowski and Samit suggests. Bear in mind Bulkowski uses a 5% price change as a definition of success, which is a very low bar. It would be far...

Has anyone bought Bulkowski's (expensive) book and conducted a back-test on his patterns? I'm sure with the advent of AI and pattern recognition systems it should be possible to do this. What conditions does he place on a defined pattern, does there need to be an uplift prior to the pattern...

Has anyone tried any of these supposedly Free Historical Market Data Downloads in Python ? The three data sources and APIs are: Yahoo Finance Pandas DataReader Quandl Interactive Brokers (Supplemental)

Has anyone a list of the spreads offered & charges such as financing which can be compared like for like? Of course if the brokers make their own market they can manipulate the spread mid point skewing the price in the direction of movement, which substantially increases the effective spread...

Some companies have the resources to market their product, and invest in offering easy access to a user friendly interface and charts. This entices relative novices with little experience and who haven't tested strategies. Also if more accounts lose, this doesn't necessarily mean that most...

Perhaps they were the best prices for low amounts. The prices might be for a few thousand quid, but not tens of thousands. When I place a prospective bet, they display the order book with progressively less favourable prices for higher amounts, much as the same any stockbroker would do, but...

I keep reaching an impasse. When I attempt to analyse a strategy based on daily Yahoo prices for a stock, I get entirely different results than when I apply the same strategy to rolling spread betting prices using their charts. in one case, using the spread betting charts I get around 15%...

There's a similar strategy in traditional gambling called a Martingale https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Martingale_(betting_system)

Why choose Forex at all if it's so hard? Is it an attempt to obtain a more consistent return from using a wider range of instruments. Perhaps in a similar way to how a long term investor might wish to diversify their portfolio?

I'm not sure I understand the question. Harder than trading other instruments? What would be the order of difficulty relative to Index futures, Stocks, Commodities, crypto. There's also a lot of subcategories in all those. Also what timeframe are we considering? What's the point of trading...

I've just realised prorealtime is available if you are a client of IG, although unless you trade regularly (not sure how much) there's a £30 per month charge. If you just place £250 in your account it is activated, probably for a month. It looks like to get anywhere I will have to learn VB!