Recent content by Bulldog

24hr. Model Forecast The dollar has wobbled around the minor fib resistance for two days now and has finally retreated just a little. Right now the move up that was started last Friday is looking cyclical and a strong push to the upper bands seems less likely then it did on Sunday/Monday...

24hr. Model Forecast The dollar has continued to push slightly north, but the price action is showing signs of weakness. I would expect to see this indicator begin to make its way back down towards its upper band, a pretty good sing the rally has ended. The model remain short into Tuesday and...

Thanks... I'm doing the site myself so I'm peicing it together as I have time. I hope to be filling it out more this week; I appreciate the critique and will try to be a little more detailed with the information. Thanks for taking the time to look and let me know.

The dollar has pushed far enough through resistance to make me nervouse, but not far enough to deter me from my trades. The model remains short the buck, but there is a very real possibility that momentum in this move will resume. At this point its a coin toss. I've entered short dollar...

24hr. Model Forecast The dollar is in a bit of precarious position here; breaks like this will often run to either our support or resistance bands, but before they do they often take out high or low points that the bands themselves make along the way. If you look at the heavy blue line (see...

Risk Metrics Forecast If you would like to improve your trade model performance or the performance of your Signal Provider, PFI may have the answer. PFI has spent several years modeling and forecasting market volatility and has built numerous indicators to help in the process. By forecasting...

The model remains unchanged heading into the UK open and I remain on the sidelines looking towards Friday.

Model Forecast The dollars continues to equalize after the late sell-off. This brings us into the center of our price range and leaves us plenty of room to run, and whip and flip on Friday. 24hr Forecast: Long dollar into Thursday (next update Wednesday 5:00GMT 48hr Forecast: Long dollar into...

There will be no 24hr forecast heading into the UK open; we need to let this late run play out before we throw it into the dataset. From a trading point of view this will finish me for the week. I don't want to enter new trades Wednesday that will most likely drift into Thursday as that day's...

Model Forecast Little surprise here, the 24hr forecast remains bearish on the dollar; we may see some technical easement in the buck now that the FOMC is behind us. 24hr Forecast: Short dollar into Tuesday (next update Tuesday 22:00GMT) 48hr Forecast: Short dollar into Thursday (next update...

48hr Model Forecast We've been stopped out on two of the postions that were tightened up this morning. Re-entry has been calculated and is noted below. The 48hr forecast remains short into Thursday, which is no big suprise given the bullish sentiment. If the dollar does break higher today...

As you've already mentioned PPP is often not a good forecasting tool for exhange rate; consistent peirods of departure from PPP can occur in both the short and medium term. Your best bet for using PPP is forecasting moves out from 6 months and beyond but few of us hold positons that long. In...

Both the yen and the pound hae been stopped out. The pound was our loss leader from the get go and has taken a bite out of our account (I'll post May's first Demo Report once the dust settles). As the anouncement draws near, I'll place entries for both the yen and the pound in the direction of...

As the market begins to wonder if it has pushed the dollar to far before the release (we're seeing some reversal as the FOMC meeting gets under way) I feel it prudent to implament fairly tight stops to avoid turning this group of trades into serious losers if the dollar rallies as it has after...

Tuesday Model Forecast What little relief we'd been granted earlier has vanished through the Asian session. The dollar has pushed above a fairly significant resistance point and opened the door for a move higher. There is a lot of resistance just below that will probably float the index through...