Recent content by badi

correction: in a previous post I mentioned "non scalable growth", what I meant was "scalable growth" instead.

Actually you missed much, what you are talking about is the scenario of a company that was hit by a Negative Black Swan - made big unexpected losses, not particularly what I look for. My point is about Positive Black Swan : big and unexpected growth. I don't look for companies with bad data in...

I would add it to a large portfolio for long term, regardless of the past losses and bad data I think it has potential.

I would suggest multiple trades with small risks and not focus much on information because the market doesn't react the same to similar situations, rather than focusing on such events and betting big on them, if you do it this way I guarantee you big losses.

I ran a Google search for the phrase "Black Swan" to see what bloggers and analysts are saying about Black Swans, each and every one of the results was about the negative ones: market crash, crisis, downtrend... No wonder people hardly know about positive Black Swans. Nassim Taleb mentioned...

Here is a list of my actual picks of cheap US stocks of small cap companies, this is not my full list but this one is good as it is: Company | Listing | Price when picked Aehr Test Systems | NASDAQ:AEHR | 1.25 | Uluru Inc. | AMEX:ULU | 0.0499 | Banks.com Inc |...

Thanks Split I appreciate it, if you want my opinion on a given stock PM me, I'll be glad to help you. Cheers

If you look at the portfolio you will see that I bought more shares of INSM than any other company, that wasn't an arbitrary decision.

I wouldn't pick companies that made it to the FT100 because they most likely have consumed their potential of very big growth, not what I look for. I will answer this in an epistemological way: I don't chase companies that show good data, because once the information is public it is consumed...

This is a hypothetical question, get real.

It is one of the properties of Black Swans that they are not predictable, the idea is to trade even when you don't know what is going happen, in this aspect some companies are likely to make big growth, others are unlikely to. Is it because of the word "Black" that you think it must be...

The problems you mentioned are usual for small caps, no argument there. My strategy expects profits mainly from the companies that make very big growth , at that time they won't be small caps anymore and the usual problems won't be anymore.

wonderful comment, thanks. A Black Swan is an unexpected event that carries massive consequences, it can be negative and it can be positive it depends on how you look at it: If you owned a bank that went bankrupt on 2007 then the financial crisis has been a negative Black Swan for you, but for...

As a Black Swan trader I count on the stocks that make huge profits, doesn't matter if they are few, because the growth opportunities are limitless while the losses are limited, in this aspect the number of winners VS losers is irrelevant.

the link to the detailed portfolio on my blog has been deleted so I will upload the screen shots.