OddTrader,
My performance is very good but I've had some nasty drawdowns too. My main concern is to improve my timing as I tend to be a week or two off.
Thanks Tzuntsu and Arbitrageur for picking up on that and giving me the opportunity to clarify my decisions regarding my stops. A little bit over an hour after the CPI report was released I was convinced that bonds were bottoming because:
- The dollar was going up; and stocks and oil were...
Good point but I felt confident that we were in the middle of a bottom and that the downtrend had just been broken.
Stop at 105 with limited number of contracts because of the possibility I had evaluated at the time that I might be about a week too early.
Also, the barrage of events that kept traders on the sidelines for a few weeks is now over but most will wait until the beginning of the week before taking a new position.