Donkey FX Journal

mauzj

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Sold GBP 1.5331, stop loss 1.5420.

It was breaking downwards on hourly chart.

Longer term trend is downwards

Stop loss is at some 21 period moving averages.
 
Bought back GBP/USD at 1.48637.

I'm just doing my trades on an Oanda demo FX account as I'm not experienced enough to use real cash yet. So I'll post my account balance (started at £100,000) every now and then to keep track of overall performance. I aim to roughly risk 1% per trade.

Balance: £104,819.27.
 
Balance £104,800

It was my busiest day for this demo trading today.

I bought EUR and GBP, riding the moves up, but got stopped out early on EUR after trailing my stop up.

I feel that the spread on gold with Oanda is a bit wide so I'll stop trading it.

At the moment I've just done EUR, GBP and JPY against USD. I'll add the other 3 majors later. I'm setting up my charting stuff to fit all the charts on one screen. So that'll be 6x3=18 charts on a 17" laptop screen!

I'm vaguely tempted to sod it and get CQG, but that'll be a few hundred a month, which is a lot when I won't be using it for real trading yet.
 
Balance £102,200

I keep on gettting stopped out. This might be because I trail my stops too quickly, and am basing them on prior highs/lows on the 5m chart. I'll use 1hr charts from today.
 
Balance £101,800.

I seem to be pretty consistent at losing. Oh well. Caught nice moves on GBP and JPY, but got stopped out on a few other things
 
£100,000

Ever since following 3 ducks I've been losing consistently. Not good. Oh well.
 
£99k.

Got stopped out more. Still consistently losing.

I'm going to try using fixed stops/profitsnow. 30 pip stop. 120 pip profit.
 
£100k - ended my losing streak!

Fixed targets are working.

I'm using simple chart patterns to determine my entries, but only if they agree with the 3 ducks.
 
Still at £100k. I'm going to try and only do this in the morning and early afternoon as it's wasting too much of my time.
 
I'm going to try using fixed stops/profitsnow. 30 pip stop. 120 pip profit.

Mauzj, don't use a fixed stop amount. 30 Pips is irrelevant if it just falls arbitrarily on the chart. It may sound good, but it's meaningless to an unfeeling market.

Use some previous high, or low, to hide behind.
 
£99,300

I've been trading quite actively, but am still breakeven.

My friend went to India for a few weeks so I've been tinkering with his tradestation, trying to get it to help me to find good entry methods for the 3 ducks. Mostly I've just been using breakouts in combination with the 3 ducks. But nothing is helping me to get any good results.
 
Good stuff !

I think it's all that spread trading you're normally up to in your firm that's messing you up for the realities of the real world. :D

But hey joking aside all this seems perfectly normal so far.

Had this interview with Market Wizards author Jack Schwager on file, should cheer you up as what you're doing is basically not unlike what Seykota was up to, ie solid, robust trend following:

"Fleckenstein: The vast majority of the Wizards are discretionary traders, people who regardless of their discipline still include a large dose of human judgment in their decision making. Very few depend on a mechanical systems. Ed Seykota, who was in the first Wizards book, was an exception. Have you found that it's harder to achieve outstanding results with a Black Box vs. a well-disciplined but still discretionary approach?

Schwager: Yes. All the Market Wizards have a specific methodology, but most of them do not have systems. There's a reason for that. It's very difficult to develop a trading system that can realize tremendous returns with low risk. There are people who have systems that make a lot of money but have high volatility. Even in the case of Seykota, his phenomenal returns were still achieved with great volatility. When I went out to Nevada to interview him, I remember his pulling out this 15-foot-long graph, showing his equity appreciating from $10,000 up to $15 million. But along the way, it could drop from, say, $6 million down to $3 million."



Good trading !

:)
 
£104,600. I got lucky catching a few large moves, though I was stopped out a couple of times on eur early in the day. Basically i thought it was going up, and went long, but my stop got hit before it went my way.

I'm still trying to use the ducks to choose direction. But am trying to buy after price pulls back, and then starts going for it again, rather than entering on new breakouts.

If a trade gets stopped out I'm willing to get involved again if it looks like the move is starting again.
 
£104,800

Got luckt on eurusd early on. But stopped out on jpy twice.
 
£104,200.

I got whipsawed a few times on eurusd. It was because I set my stop losses at a fixed 40 pips, rather than just above a resistance level. Live and learn! After giving up eurusd moved the way i thought it would.

I've caught good moves on cable, usdjpy and cable today. Alas I don't really have an exit plan.
 
£105,500.

There were some good opportunities but I missed them. Oh well. This fx trading isn't easy as everyone makes it out to be.
 
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