Refco - Anyone Long?

$spreader

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Has anyone got info regarding the refco trading arcades - are they safe, following the recent collapse in share price?

Just scanning the net we've found some US clearers(who clear thru refco) are seriously considering their position.
 
have heard no word in the London offices other than business as usual. Refco apparently have $20bn in segregated customer funds, and even at the $10 share mark they are capitalized at $1.5bn or something, and cleared around $170m in profit last year. Not exactly a shaky business model.
 
But any institution relies on liquidity not profitability. If enough large players decide to withdraw funds then the situation could get horrible very quickly. I am not saying it is the most likely sceanrio but in my view anyone keeping funds with Refco at the moment must be mad.
 
yes, and they also rely on trust, which seems like Refco have lost at the moment.
 
Arbitrageur said:
yes, and they also rely on trust, which seems like Refco have lost at the moment.

With the boss hiding $400m in bad debt ,is it a surprise trust is in short supply?

Add to that the law suits that are being filed against them for misleading potential shareholders at their IPO in August where they arranged $580m by allegedly providing false accounts and now they themselves are saying the accounts going back to 2002 cannot be relied upon.
 
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It is lights out . Everybody is getting their money out, the business is illiquid. They are finished.
 
Just a thought
Where does it stop?
How many other broker/SB firms have money tied up with them?
 
Does it matter - The flipper is gonna get everyone's money eventually anyway!
 
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anyone here dealing thru refco and is worried? i might have an out for you if you have form...segregated accounts too, i.e. not domino effect....
 
twalker said:
It is lights out . Everybody is getting their money out, the business is illiquid. They are finished.

I know Refco Capital Markets is illiquid b/c of this, but is RTS really closing up shop as well?
 
okwon said:
I know Refco Capital Markets is illiquid b/c of this, but is RTS really closing up shop as well?
Few! I had a futures account with them not so long back. I now have a new broker based in London. Lucky I got out
 
Nothing seems to have changed here at RTS, I came in this morning expecting a padlock on the door, but nothing has changed. I think the panic which set in yesterday has calmed down now. The LCH and CME have put out statements saying our money is whole and safe, I along with other guys are waiting for Eurex to say the same.
 
Calypso said:
I wonder which is the safer arcade to join now ? Is it TCA or Refco :)

Not TCA, the difference here is that eveyone will get their money back it just may take a little time. This is not a bad trade, this is bad news and the flood of clients taking their money out on the back of the news and snowballing the situation.
Refco have a good balance sheet and are FSA registered to hold client funds so under FSA and CFTC rules will have too make good all client balances. Refco have a substantial balance sheet so this is not a "Griffin" or "ICA".
My advice would be to find another high quality balance sheet arcade where you would enjoy the same level of protection.
 
A couple of comments

this would never have happened if dick & bunker were stll running the show.!!

who do you think constitutes a better arcade if rts&tca are ignored??
 
and excluding arcades that clear through refco? that will cut the number by a large percentage
 
Well as Dick is now running SFX at STA, and STA are not clearing Refco. I would say Schneider Trading is a viable alternative?........... And they are matching the Refco rates.
 
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