CAF.V - Canaf Group Inc. (Thoughts On This Play)

This is a discussion on CAF.V - Canaf Group Inc. (Thoughts On This Play) within the Stocks forums, part of the Markets category; Hello Everyone, This is my first post and I spent some time doing research on this company that's listed on ...

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Old Feb 8, 2018, 5:31pm   #1
 
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Joined Oct 2017
CAF.V - Canaf Group Inc. (Thoughts On This Play)

Hello Everyone,

This is my first post and I spent some time doing research on this company that's listed on the Canadian Venture exchange. Their assets are in South Africa and they refine the highest quality coal used for making steel. This has been in the news lately as it's gone up to record prices in terms of the commodity price and perhaps it's a good time to get in? Let me know what you think. Below is information from www.sedar.com which is the legal site where all financial and company information must be posted to.


Common Shares: 47,426,195
Options/Warrants: Nil
Insider Holdings: 15,391,328 or 32.5% as per www.Sedi.ca
Website: www.canafgroup.com

Financials (All in US Dollars – Should Be Converted into CDN Dollars for accurate value)

ASSETS (USD)
Cash: $671,367
Trade Receivables: $907,084
Income Tax Receivable: $27.960
Sales Tax Receivable: $1,575
Inventories: $504,600
Prepaid Expenses: $39,166
Property & Equipment: $1,202,245
Intangible: $1
Total Assets: $3,353,998 (USD)

LIABILITIES
Trade Payables: $732,024
Sales Tax Receivable: $39,234
Income Tax Payable: $958
Current Bank Loan: $78,590
Total Bank Loan: $411,488
Total Liabilities: $1,262,294 (USD)

Q1 2017 Results
Sales: $2,991,706
Net Income: $198,221 USD

Q2 2017 Results
Sales: $3,490,753
Net Income: $236,961 USD

Q3 2017 Results
Sales: 1,961,208
Net Income: $187,796 USD

Nine Month Results (2017)
Sales: $8,443,667
Net Income: $622,730 USD

Earnings Per Share:
$622,730 USD X 1.235(rate today) = $767,490 CAD

$767,490 CAD / 47,426,195 (shares) = $0.016 CAD earnings per share

MD&A Highlights

After an extremely positive and profitable first two quarters to the financial year, Q3 reflects an expected short-term period of depressed Sales, and subsequent reduction in earnings. Despite Sales reducing significantly for the period, the Corporation remained profitable, again demonstrating its resilience in difficult trading conditions. Sales are expected to increase slightly for Q4 and Q1, 2018.

Revenue for the 9-month period increased to $8,443,667 in comparison to $2,907,198 for the same period last fiscal year. The Corporation recorded a net income of $595,716 (C$741,080), in comparison to a net loss of $335,864 for the same period the previous year. Adjusted EBITDA rose to $881,885 (C$1,097,080) for the period.

The Corporation continues to understand that for Southern Coal to reach its full potential, its customer bases needs to increase so to reduce its reliability on key suppliers. Southern Coal is continuing to work with a new potential major customer to supply product in South Africa and remains hopeful for trial loads to be dispatched in Q1 or Q2 2018.

The board believes that it is in the interest of the Corporation, and its shareholders, that Southern Coal (Pty) Ltd., achieves a Broad-Based Black Economic Empowerment, (“B-BBEE), Level 4 rating during the fiscal year 2018. During the quarter the Corporation can confirm that it has had discussions with its customers over the need for Southern Coal to improve its current B-BBEE rating so to remain compliant with its customers own supplier requirements. During the coming three months, the Corporation expects to announce the details of a deal that is currently being negotiated and finalized by specialists. All in all, the board is of the belief that the final deal that will be agreed will be one that will ensure sustainability and offer growth opportunity for the South African business.

The Corporation intends to continue to generate positive free cash flow during the fiscal year-end 2017 and will focus on increasing shareholders’ value, as well as investment to improve the efficiency of its older facilities, or investment into related business opportunities in South Africa

The Corporation has an agreement to lease premises for its coal processing plant in South Africa for a term of ten years, expiring on December 31, 2020. The agreement offers the Corporation, in lieu of rent, feedstock coal to be delivered to its adjacent premises, which it purchases at market price. Should the Corporation decide to purchase feedstock coal from an alternative supplier which the lessor is otherwise able to provide, then a monthly rent of Rand 200,000 ($14,846) is payable. To date, the Corporation has not been required to pay any rent for the premises as it has continued to purchase feedstock coal from the landlord.

The bank loan bears interest at 9.25% per annum, matures on January 7, 2019, and is secured by the Corporation’s furnace acquired with the proceeds from the loan. The bank loan is repayable over 42 months in blended monthly payments of Rand 393,779 ($29,230 translated at October 31, 2016 exchange rate). During the period ended July 31, 2017, the Corporation incurred interest expense totaling $42,420 (October 31, 2017 – $71,721).

In August 2006, Canaf, then known as Uganda Gold Mining, announced the termination of any further investment into its Kilembe Copper-Cobalt Project in Uganda. Since 2007, the Corporation has been involved in a legal dispute with Kilembe Mines Limited, (“KML”). In January 2013, the High Court of Uganda referred the case back to arbitration for settlement. On May 29, 2013, a preliminary meeting was held between the Corporation, KML and the arbitrator. The Corporation can confirm that further meetings were scheduled for August 2013, after filings of amended statements of defence and claims had been submitted. Since the initial meeting however the Government has awarded a deal to a Chinese Consortium to manage and operate KML. The Corporation’s appointed Ugandan Advocates have notified the board that the Arbitrator has stepped down for personal reasons. The Corporation’s Uganda Advocates and the Government’s Solicitor General have agreed to a new Arbitrator, Retired Justice James Ogoola. The parties held a preliminary meeting with the Arbitrator who requested them to provide him with their fee estimate for the conduct of the Arbitration. The estimate has since been provided to the Arbitrator who is yet to confirm whether or not he is agreeable to it. In the meantime the Corporation appointed SRK Consultants to prepare a brief document to quantify the ‘lost opportunity’ value of the termination of the Kilembe Project. During the current financial year the Corporation will utilize this document to assist in the submission of a revised claim against KML. The Corporation has received no new information since 2014, and the Corporation remains unable to give an indication of either the quantum or any likely date by which a settlement will or will not be reached. The original claim, before costs, is for a money sum of US$10,370,368 as at January 24, 2007.
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Old Feb 8, 2018, 11:29pm   #2
 
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StockHound started this thread Some recent news:

Canaf's South African subsidiary agrees to B-BBEE deal

2018-01-29 10:44 MT - News Release


Mr. Christopher Way reports

CANAF ANNOUNCES B-BBEE TRANSACTION FOR SOUTH AFRICAN SUBSIDIARY

Canaf Group Inc. has released the terms of its Broad-Based Black Economic Empowerment, transaction for its South African subsidiary, Southern Coal Pty. Ltd.

As part of Southern Coal's continuing B-BBEE transformation program, Elkhat Pty. Ltd., a 100-per-cent black, privately owned company incorporated in South Africa, has agreed to acquire 30 per cent of the issued shares of Southern Coal, from Canaf's wholly owned subsidiary, Quantum Screening and Crushing Pty. Ltd., for the value of $1.8-million.

Quantum will, in return, receive cumulative, redeemable preference shares in Elkhat in the amount of the purchase price, $1.8-million. These preference shares shall provide preferential dividends, until redeemed by Elkhat. These dividends will be secured by an irrevocable direction from Elkhat to Southern Coal to pay Quantum such dividends from any distribution to Elkhat. The transaction will close on March 24, 2018.

Christopher Way, chief executive officer of Canaf, states: "It is my goal to ensure that Canaf, via its South African subsidiaries, expands and invests in South Africa and its neighbours. The agreement to sell 30 per cent of Southern Coal to Elkhat marks a significant and essential milestone in our B-BBEE transformation program; this program helps ensure sustainability and security for the corporation in South Africa, and subsequently only facilitates our long-term expansion goals in Southern Africa."

In addition to this transaction, Southern Coal is also pleased to confirm that it is well on track in ensuring that all other areas of its B-BBEE transformation plan, including its enterprise, socio-economic skills and supplier development programs are fully invested in so to ensure that the company reaches its desired level.

About Canaf Group Inc.

Canaf is a junior-mining-related group based in Vancouver, Canada, with subsidiary offices in the United Kingdom and South Africa. Canaf owns 100 per cent of Quantum Screening and Crushing Pty. Ltd., a South African-based company that owns 100 per cent of Southern Coal Pty. Ltd., a company that produces a high-carbon, devolatized anthracite.

We seek Safe Harbor.

© 2018 Canjex Publishing Ltd. All rights reserved.
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Old Feb 10, 2018, 10:25pm   #3
 
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StockHound started this thread From CAF's website:

Canaf Group owns 100 percent of Quantum Screening and Crushing (Proprietary) Limited, ("Quantum"), a private South African company that focuses on anthracite beneficiation.

Quantum produces calcined anthracite, a product used primarily as a substitute to coke in the manufacturing process of steel and manganese. The company's two largest clients are world leaders in steel and ferromanganese production, namely ArcelorMittal and BHP Billiton respectively. Quantum has an operation near Newcastle, KwaZulu Natal, where its two kilns operate, de-volatising the raw material anthracite, known as calcining. The majority of Quantum's feedstock anthracite is supplied by the neighbouring Springlake Colliery, which has reserves in excess of 20 years.

Calcining is a process whereby anthracite coal is fed through a rotary kiln, at temperatures between 850 and 1100 degrees centigrade; the volatiles are burnt off and the effective carbon content increased. The final product, referred to as 'calcined anthracite' is used as a coke substitute. Calcined anthracite is used as a reductant in the manufacture of steel and manganese, as well as other sintering processes. Quantum, through its wholly owned subsidiary Southern Coal (Proprietary) Limited, ("Southern Coal") has been profitably carrying on this business since 2004.

Location and Plant

Quantum is situated in Newcastle, KwaZulu Natal, South Africa. The majority of the feedstock anthracite is supplied by Springlake Colliery which has reserves in excess of 20 years, whose coal siding is strategically located adjacent to Quantum's facility.

Quantum runs two independent lines of production which each consist of pre-heating stage feeding a main rotary kiln. The raw material, anthracite is feed into an electrically heated rotary pre-heater, which raises the temperature of the product to about 800 degrees C. The pre-heated (and red hot) anthracite is then fed into the main, refractory lined, rotary kiln. It is at this stage of the process that extra raw material is added to the main kiln. The temperature of the main kiln is then controlled to remain above 1000 degrees C so that calcination of the anthracite occurs and maximum amount of volatile matter is burnt off.

The final stage of the process involves the oxidization of any excess volatiles in the after-burners/oxidizers, before emission to the atmosphere.

Screening and Crushing Plants

Since the Company acquired Quantum in 2007, significant investment has been made in crushing and screening equipment. Quantum now has the ability to offer existing and potential customers a range of size productsm which subsequently opens up other markets.

Quantum has 2 independent screening plants, which are capable to dry screen down to sizes as small as 6mm.

Profitability, Performance and Expansion Program

Quantum Screening and Crushing has been operating profitably since the Company acquired it in 2007.

Quantum Screening and Crushing has built up a fine reputation for product quality and reliability of supply, which has earned the respect and preference from two of the major steel and manganese producers in the world. Canaf believes that as long as Quantum maintains its focus on its core values, coupled with the ever-increasing demand of calcined anthracite as a replacement to coke in the reductant market, that the business will continue to expand and potentially become one of the major reductants and low volatile reductant suppliers on the continent.
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Old Feb 13, 2018, 5:02pm   #4
 
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StockHound started this thread Here are three important factors that will significantly increase the value of CAF:

1) Sales. As reported in their last MD&A, sales are lower than usual apparently, but prices are much higher. However, the next quarters coming up will show increased sales. From the MD&A:

For the 9-month period ended July 31, 2017, the Corporation reported a net income of $595,716 (C$741,080) compared to a net loss of $315,919 for same period the previous year. The increase in net income was directly related to an increase in sales during the period, as well as improved profit margins generated from efficiencies generated from Quantum s new calcining facility, which only started fully operating in August 2016. Revenue increased to $8,443,667, in comparison to $2,907,198, for the same period last year. The significant increase in sales is due to a combination of unusually low sales during the last fiscal period combined with increased prices per sales unit. The Corporation expects to report a slight increase in Sales during Q4 and expects fiscal year end 2018 to reflect increased demand as the Corporation hopes to bring on a new customer.

2) Price of Anthracite(coking coal) for steel manufacturing. This is important as increased sales and higher commodity prices go hand and hand. From the chart below, coking coal is near multi year high's. Problem with the chart is it's general coking coal pricing and not showing the premium CAF gets for it's Anthracite coal, which is rarer and more valuable.

https://ca.investing.com/commodities...g-coal-futures


3) Rand/USD/CAD Exchange rate. There are many public companies that have good sales, but the exchange rate can either make of break them. In our case, the Rand is getting stronger as a new pro business leader is sworn in and Jacob Zuma leaves. But not only that, the CAD is getting weaker at the same time. This means that once Canaf converts their Rand into USD, then it must be converted into CAD to reflect it's proper value on the TSX Venture, thus giving us an additional premium. The rand is still near a 2 year high versus the USD.

http://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?fr...to=ZAR&view=2Y
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Old Feb 15, 2018, 4:55am   #5
 
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StockHound started this thread South African Rand Hits 3 Year High After Zuma Resigns

http://uk.businessinsider.com/south-...resigns-2018-2

Remember, the stronger the Rand, the more CAF profits convert into USD. Plus the new leadership is pro business and will make the economy stronger.
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