http://www.priceactionlab.com/Blog/2016/07/unprecedented-volatility-collapse/
Now 12 days with less than 1% variation. Large move could be around corner.
Now 12 days with less than 1% variation. Large move could be around corner.
Signalcalc
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Is it the Summer slowdown? Although it looks exceptional from the report.
No slowdown in FX so far.
No slowdown in FX so far.
NVP
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Signalcalc
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Reduction of volatility is the meetimg of buyers and sellers and the formation of the springboard as taught by dbphoenix?
That seems to tie in with Tom's post. Once again,though, you have to know which way to jump. Probabilities say with the underlying trend but those spikes and traps are to be be avoided.
That seems to tie in with Tom's post. Once again,though, you have to know which way to jump. Probabilities say with the underlying trend but those spikes and traps are to be be avoided.
Which way to jump? That's the rub. US and UK stock markets give no TA reason to short except in the usual crop of individual situations.
Until the bear strikes I'm still mostly long. But what about sell orders on the indices? Say 500pts down on the Dow? Anyone carrying such orders already? Solas0077?
joseph1986
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everyone predicting vix implosion.....everyone also thought summer was going to be rough including myself.....the analysts thought britain will remain........if anything you have a better chance betting against everyone this year
NVP
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last 2 weeks in july went a little flatter re G8........but based on the pre/post Berxit volatility that's not surprising ............see the last few mins of video re july action
still plenty around intraday though Mondays a little quieter ..................no complaints here
N
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NVP
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unusual and unsettled year ......so be prepared for anything and trade what you see.......so business as usual really
N
Signalcalc
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My trading algorithm has me short the S&P500 for the next few days. That could change in the future, so we'll see...
But are you already short, or have you entered sell orders or are you waiting for the downward move?
I put in my short position at the close on Friday.
Now 15 days with a 1.5% range, still tight. Could the market be random as professors say and we just try to rationalize the moves after they occur?
Nice article and the blog is worth following.
I'm still favouring long positions over shorts but I am sticking to a holding period of not more than 5 days. I'm also making sure I've got at least one or two forex positions open.
(actually this might be a good rule for "normal" conditions too)
(actually this might be a good rule for "normal" conditions too)
