FOMC Fed Day

W

wildfiction

Newbie

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• Mar 28, 2006

• #1

Don't forget that today is a Fed Day.

Fed Day Video - shows 5 minute bar chart with MP chart for the E-mini S&P500 developing during the previous Fed Day at 90x speed so the whole day fits into a few minutes - useful for getting an idea about what happens on a Fed Day.

96% probability that rate hike will be 0.25 and 4% probability that it will be 0.50. Fed rate change announcement is made at 14:15 EST so expect fireworks after that.

Be profitable!!

 

H

hmalik

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• Mar 28, 2006

• #2

Does anyone think that Fed may indicate pausing rate hikes personally I dont think as they would like to leave the door open anyone with any views ???

 

J

jacinto

Senior member

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• Mar 28, 2006

• #3

hmalik said:

Does anyone think that Fed may indicate pausing rate hikes personally I dont think as they would like to leave the door open anyone with any views ???

Click to expand...

i think the signal is that there will be more to come.......data dependent.

 

W

wildfiction

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• Mar 28, 2006

• #4

I can't see them stopping anytime soon. Consumer confidence is way high and house prices are out of control.

 

W

wildfiction

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• Aug 7, 2006

• #5

Tomorrow (8/8/06) is FOMC meeting day again.

What do you think? Another 0.25 or leave flat?

 

P

passive

Junior member

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• Aug 7, 2006

• #6

i'm working on the assumption of flat to mild rally into announcement and overall downward movement towards the end of the day.

 

P

passive

Junior member

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• Aug 9, 2006

• #7

that was fun.

 

V

vimkar

Newbie

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• Aug 9, 2006

• #8

the rates remained the same . but the dolar went bulish ...

 

DeltaGuy

Junior member

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• Sep 20, 2006

• #9

Reminder: FOMC Fed Day tomorrow!

 

DeltaGuy

Junior member

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• Oct 25, 2006

• #10

Reminder: Fed Day tomorrow. 98% probability of no rate change: Previous FOMC Charts

 

bizmanny

Established member

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• Oct 25, 2006

• #11

DeltaGuy said:

Reminder: Fed Day tomorrow. 98% probability of no rate change: Previous FOMC Charts

Click to expand...

How do you think the markets might react to any 3 possible outcome from the fed. Increase rate , Cut rate, or no change.

 

DeltaGuy

Junior member

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• Oct 25, 2006

• #12

Large reaction if increase or decrease (i.e. much more volatility) and a small reaction if kept the same - less volatility but still some.

Probably more directional market if kept the same and more whippy if increase or decrease.

 

DeltaGuy

Junior member

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• Jan 31, 2007

• #13

Reminder: Fed Day on Wednesday!

Probability of rate cut: 2%
Probability of no change: 98%

 

DeltaGuy

Junior member

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• Jun 28, 2007

• #14

DeltaGuy said:

Reminder: Fed Day tomorrow. 98% probability of no rate change: Previous FOMC Charts

Click to expand...

Same probabilities for tomorrow. 98% no rate change and 2% chance that the rate is cut by quarter of a point.

 

DeltaGuy

Junior member

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• Oct 31, 2007

• #15

95% probability that there will be a rate cut tomorrow.

 

F

fossie

Newbie

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• Mar 18, 2008

• #16

they sai a rate cut of 75 BP to 125 BP tomorrow!!!!

 

DeltaGuy

Junior member

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• Jan 28, 2009

• #17

Don't forget that it's Fed Day tomorrow!

 

F

fossie

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• Aug 12, 2009

• #18

Reminder: Tomorrow is Fed Day.