TUES, 28 Dec 2011
Have not updated in a bit - work was really hectic, so wasn't able to log previous trades. I'll start with this week so far...
Short AUD/USD
Up to 1.0160
Avg = 1.0155
S/L = 1.0185
TGT = 1.0125, 15
Fundamentals
RISK OFF
HONG KONG (MarketWatch) — Asian markets extended their fall in thin
volumes Tuesday, with South Korean stocks briefly sliding more than 2%
in choppy trade before recovering some ground, while Chinese shares
dropped further on lingering worries about the economic outlook. - Nikkei Closes Down, Trade Value Hits Lowest Since '03
- S&P 500 slammed into 200 MA resistance on the daily chart
- Risk FX - US dollar @ support as Europe talks of QE
- Commods - oil fails to get past $100 resistance and copper weak overnight as stuck @ resistance..no HH!!
Technicals
10 mins @ 200 MA resistance and fib retrace resistance
60 mins - lower highs = bearish
Short FTSE
Up to 5548
avg = 5543
S/L = 5593
TGT = 5500 - 5450
Fundamentals - Asia down overnight
- Italy Govt Bonds 10 Year Gross Yield 7.121% = danger = risk off
- Talk of QE from EUROPE = weaker EURO = higher US dollar
- Commods at resistance along with RISK FX
Technicals - 10 mins - resistance @ 5540 as bull flag complete
- 60 mins - berarish wedge formation , high probability of break to down
- side as EURO and oil @ resistance
Short DAX
Up to 5911
AVG =5906
S/L = 5936
Technicals
10 mins = trend line and gap level resistance
60 mins - upward sloping wedge = bearish as triple in with no HH's = reversal
Short CAC
Up To 3139
Avg = 3134
S/L = 3164
Tgt = 3104, 3094
Fundamentals remain the same = risk off
Franch CAC 40 daily chart = doji = reversal
10 mins - gap must close as unjustified
60 mins resistance
Short Nasdaq
Up to 2290
Avg = 2288
S/L = 3010
Tgt = 2260, 2250
Later that day...
Short Nasdaq
upto 2304
avg = 2299
stop loss = 2320
tgt = 2280.70.60
Asian markets making new lows
Iran threatens to cut off strait of Hormuz....... Economics = exogenous variable shock = risk off
Oil > $100 = reduction in disposable income = fear trade = risk off = not good for Technology
Italian bond yields > 7.1 %
US dollar support
Technicals
Daily chart - 200 MA & trendline resistance
60 mins - trendline resistance
10 mins - gap level resistance
Apple and semi conductors into resistance
Charts Same as above attached The reasons for the following shorts from 7PM:
- Oil at resistance, copper and gold remain weak.
- Nothing to fuel the aussie to move higher now as Iran spike factored in
Short FTSE
Up To 5553
avg = 5548
stop loss = 5578
tgt = 5518 , 5508
SHORT CAC
Up to 3118
avg = 3113
stop loss = 3143
tgt = 3083 , 3073
SHORT AUD
upto 1.0168
avg = 1.0163
s/l = 1.0193
tgt = 1.0133
SUMMARY FOR THE DAY
A few trades were closed b/e after being up +10. None to minimal losses there if the average was good. These are Tuesday's results:
Short DAX from 5913 +30
Short CAC from 3129 +20
Nasdaq short, AUD short & FTSE short closed for a total of +15
@7PM, AUD, FTSE & CAC closed +52
My total for the day + 117