The Learn About Futures Insider for November 18th, 2010 : US Dollar Index

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Old Nov 19, 2010, 4:02am   #1
 
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The Learn About Futures Insider for November 18th, 2010 : US Dollar Index

The Learn About Futures Insider:
US Dollar Index


Since the dawn of commerce and trade, currency has evolved to facilitate the process by providing a medium of exchange and helping people represent a store of value. The circulating medium, whether coins or paper money, was developed in many cultures. The U.S. dollar is a globally recognized hard currency. The U.S. Dollar Index is a measure of the value of the U.S. dollar against six major world currencies using a weighted geometric mean. U.S. Dollar Index futures are traded on the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) and the CME, but for this lesson, specifications will refer to the ICE contract.

Contract Size:$1,000 x Index Value

Price Quote & Tick Size:US Dollar Index points, calculated to three decimal places .010 = $10; minimum tick size is .005 = $5 per contract

Contract Months: March, June, September, December

Trading Specs: Electronic Trading Hours 8:00 pm to 6:00 pm the following day on the Intercontinental Exchange (Sun - Fri) *the trading platform is available 30 minutes before the opening for order entry. Open on Sunday night is 6:00 PM ET; Pre-Open at 5:30 PM ET

Daily Price Limit: None

Trading Symbols: DX
Click the image to open in full size.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.
***chart courtesy of Gecko Software


US Dollar Index Facts


The level of the U.S. Dollar Index indicates the average value of the dollar relative to the agreed 1973 base of 100.00, when major trading nations agreed to allow their currencies to float freely against each other. It is computed using the weighted average of currencies with a highly developed market.

The current basket of currencies used to calculate the U.S. Dollar index includes twenty countries: the fifteen nations in the Euro Zone and five other countries who make up the basis of global trade with the United States. The currencies and their relative weights are as follows:
Click the image to open in full size.
Click the image to open in full size.
Click the image to open in full size.

Key Terms


Hard Currency - This term refers to a currency which is traded around the world and is seen as a stable store of value. This perception is usually based on the issuing country's policies and its economic and political situation.

Quantitative Easing - Refers to a monetary policy which increases the money supply when the central bank buys securities and then infuses financial institutions with capital. The risks associated with this kind of policy include the possibility of hyper-inflation and devaluing the dollar.

Trade Weighted Dollar Index - An index created by the Federal Reserve that is a weighted average of a large number of currencies, far more than the ICE US Dollar Index. This index was created following the introduction of the euro.


Key Uses


Besides the obvious implications and uses for currency, the U.S. Dollar Index has investing applications as well. As a financial instrument, U.S. Dollar Index futures are often used as a means to hedge currency exchange risk. Since the U.S. dollar is such a huge part of international trade, this can be a significant market for other businesses as well.


Key Concerns


Several factors within a nation can have a significant effect on the currency exchange rates and the relative importance of each is the subject of debate, however, it is important to be aware of some of the key fundamentals.

Inflation - It is generally believed that countries with consistently lower inflation exhibit a rising currency value while countries with higher inflation may see currency depreciation.

Interest Rates - High interest rates may attract foreign investors and that can lead to an exchange rate increase while the opposite scenario is possible in a country with low interest rates.

Overall Economic Conditions - Everything from a country's balance of trade to the size of their deficit or surplus can serve as a barometer of the condition of the country and the likelihood of default. Investors look for countries with stronger economic foundations and the better the economic foundation of one country versus another may increase the value of the country's currency.

Perception - The so called "flight to quality" exists within foreign currencies as investors will often seek what they perceive as "safe haven" currencies during times of political or economical instability.

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