Re: Wall Street = Casino. Minus Sum Game. Quote:
Originally Posted by timsk How about you? |
I'm Broadly with DT. Its not that there's an absense of information, everything you need is probably out there, but noise is a big problem. In the complete absense of any information then anything that a book or forum, or system or mentor provides that can be evaluated, and gets people immersed in the process (even if its complete nonsense) is probably useful to a limited extent.
Unfortunately even the very best advice is context sensitve, and it can therefore be counter productive.
My advice to people would be that you need a full time committment. I've never met anyone who was able to achieve consistant profitability from part time study, although that doesnt mean it cant be done. I'd strongly advise against focussing on trade entries. I'd advise brushing up on basic statistics and probability theory. I'd advise getting some programming and data analysis skills. I'd advise people start by trading a system with a random entry, with an exit after X bars (where X is determined by personal psychology, tempered by market reality). I'd advise the retrospective analysis of all trades, and the development of appropriate metrics for the classification of "good" and "bad" trades. I'd advice gaining an understanding of the importance of trend. I'd advise gaining an understanding of basic TA, price action etc and how that might be used to modify reward and risk. I'd advise against reading anything writen after around 1930 ! I may even advise buying a few books and systems. I'd strongly advise people to keep a diary. I'd advise people to set realistic expecations.
I'd strongly advise against collabarative projects
Thats the problem though, my advice is possibly perfect for anyone who shares similar traits to me. I reckon I could put a training program together that would have them up and running within 18 months, and that they'd be totally self sufficient. The problem is that the majority of people dont share my traits, and therefore they wont benefit from the process. They need a different path, and possibly a path thats diametrically opposite what I would reccommend.
they tell me that there's more than one way to skin a cat |