I am a bit unclear by the above, are you saying that you had one horse that was a lay that won at 8-1 ?
Paul
HI Paul, Dam You just made me See what a stupid mistake I made, Love match was supposed to be a win bet, That's the honest truth, never mind my mistake, You really can make good money at this game but you really do have to put the time and effort in, let me give you a example of race today which looks a tough one to crack.
2:20 York the comments in the racing post are-----------
Master Macho and Imperialistic Diva have similar form prospects but they face potentially above-average newcomers in the shape of DA´QUONDE and Miss Mediator.
I would not agree with those comments,MASTER MACHO is what I call a sucker horse, This means that people will get sucked into backing each time he runs because he finished second 4 times and today is not going to be any different, He cost £5000,Imperialistic Diva cost only 7,500gns,.
The running comments for M.M. over 5F are.
San 5f Made most, driven over 1f out, stayed on but headed last stride
Haydock5F Led, ridden over 1f out, headed final 110yds, no extra close home
Leicester 5f
Chased leaders on far side, closed over 1f out, ridden entering final furlong, keeping on same pace when not clear run near finish (op 9-1)
These 3 running comments tell me that he was always DRIVEN, Or Ridden 1F out in my humble opinion 5F is not his trip.You should also note the nature of the 3 tracks, All 3 have a uphill finish where by York is a flat track. There are new comers in this race that cost big bucks, These 2 horses M.M and I.D. cost next to nothing compered to MISS MEDIATOR , DA´QUONDE, .So will the winner come from one of these 2??? again in my humble Opinion i would say no, the winner is likely to be Imperialistic Diva, I looked through all the races that M.M. and I.D. ran in, I looked at the all the horses that they fin-shed in front or behind, What was i looking for ?? I was looking for the purchase price!!! of the horses that Finished in front or behind these 2 horses, M.M Finished behind horses that were brought cheaply and the ones that finished in front were just as cheap, Look at I.D last race and you will see that she Finished behind some expensive buys
Ayr Result
27 May 2010
Where's Romeo 1ST Cost £14,000
Extra Power 37,000gns
Lexi's Hero 30,000
Imperialistic Diva 7,500 gns
Evening Dress190,000gns
M.M. at time of writing is available to back at 3.45, I.D. 4.10.
I would say that M.M. will not win and he will drift in the market, I.D will win and could also possibly drift maybe because of the support for the new comers, On the other hand I could get egg on my face and M.M may go on and win this race, But that's the nature of this tough game, Horses are not machines for all I know I.D. might have a bad hair day like most women do!!!, If I had Put this kind of thought process into all 21 selections I know I would have been right 21 times!!!
