Top Market Sports - J.P. Evans

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Old Sep 23, 2017, 5:04pm   #1
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Top Market Sports - J.P. Evans

J.P. Evans is a grizzled Wall Street veteran who applies stock market strategies to picking sports winners.

He's recommending a play on UCF +5.5 this afternoon. Central Florida hits the road to visit Maryland in a game that will be broadcast on Fox Sports 1. Just a short time ago, both of these programs were in the dumps. UCF is not long removed from their infamous 0-12 campaign in 2015. And until recently, Maryland was considered the laughing stock of the Big Ten. But fortunes have changed for the two schools, which are both led by brilliant second year head coaches.

So what's the difference? Who's got the edge? Terp fans are extremely excited about the early play of true freshman Kasim Hill at quarterback. He was electric against Towson, but this will be his first start against an FBS team. J.P. is betting that the youngster gets a rude awakening to big time college football today. He says, "The key to the game and the number is the Hill kid...he's being drastically overvalued here."

Stat to watch for: UCF was the nation's #2 team in red zone defense in 2016. Many of those defensive starters have returned for 2017.

Keep an eye on your inbox, there might be more plays released shortly.
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Old Sep 24, 2017, 2:12am   #2
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PJmarkets702 started this thread Jason Beddy is a currency hedge fund trader and an experienced sports investor who resides in London now. He is a former minor league pro soccer player.

He's playing UCLA +7 in one of the last game's on the board. The boys from Brentwood are 2-1 on the season, but they're being treated like they're 0-3 by the media and a restless Bruin fan base. That's somewhat unfair, considering they ran into an absolute BUZZ-SAW last week in Memphis. (NOTE: Folks need to be on notice, Memphis could quickly become a big-time college football program.)

Beddy feels success on the ground will be key for UCLA tonight. Stanford was awful against the run in their meetings with USC and SDSU. Meanwhile, UCLA has quietly improved on their running game through the first month of the season. They had 63 yards of running against A+M, then 132 against Hawaii, and most recently 170 versus Memphis. Beddy says, "Rosen's still a player...Bruins big."
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Old Sep 26, 2017, 2:34am   #3
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PJmarkets702 started this thread J.P. Evans is a grizzled Wall Street veteran who applies stock market strategies to picking sports winners. His most recently released free email pick was a great call on UCF +4.5 Saturday morning.

Monday Night Football is here, and J.P. likes the UNDER 47. America's team looks to right the ship tonight as they head to the desert. Both the Cardinals and the Cowboys are 1-1, but don't tell that to Joe Public because he doesn't wanna hear it. Everyone and their uncle is taking Dallas! But never mind all that, because J.P. has his eyes on the Total.

There's some strong data in favor of the UNDER here. For the Cardinals, 10 of their last 12 home games have stayed Under the number. For Dallas, 6 of their last 8 road games have also resulted in an Under. However, these simple statistics aren't the reasons why J.P. expects a low scoring affair tonight.

First off, both the ticket count and the cash count show that books are being flooded with square money on the OVER. This is not unexpected, considering it's a big prime-time game and public darling Dallas is involved. Second, people forget that Arizona was one of the best defensive teams in the NFL last year even though they aren't showing it (yet) this year. Arizona has surrendered an average of 24 PPG thru their first two contests. J.P. says that's the key stat when analyzing this game. The public is overly confident that Dallas will put up a ton of points in this one, win or lose. At the same time, they're also being fed stories about the Dallas secondary being weak. An old-fashioned shootout in the desert is what most folks are banking on.

J.P. disagrees. He says, "It really sets up nicely...this one might stay WAY under."
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Old Sep 27, 2017, 4:12pm   #4
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PJmarkets702 started this thread Hey guys -- if you want 100% Free sports picks like this sent to your email inbox every day, check out our site...

www. TopMarketSports .com
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Old Sep 28, 2017, 7:38pm   #5
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PJmarkets702 started this thread Jason Beddy is a currency hedge fund trader and an experienced sports investor who resides in London now. He is a former minor league pro soccer player.

He's making a move on Texas -4.5. This line opened at 4, but was steadily pushed up to almost a full touchdown as of yesterday. The market finally experienced some buyback last night, and it's now hovering around four-and-a-half.

Fans are excited in Ames, as Iowa State has scored 40+ points in each of it's first three games. There's even chatter that this could be the best offensive unit that the school has ever had. But Beddy feels this narrative is a bit too rich. He's glad the spread has come back down to earth, so he can get involved.

NOTE: Many "sharps" are backing Iowa State in this game. This Cyclone athletic program is usually a good value in both football AND basketball, as they don't get much national attention or hype...but not tonight.

Beddy says, "Texas just has too many athletes for them to handle."
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Old Oct 1, 2017, 6:08pm   #6
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PJmarkets702 started this thread Jason Beddy is a currency hedge fund trader and an experienced sports investor who resides in London now. He is a former minor league pro soccer player.

His best play is the Bucs -2.5 today. This is a meeting of an injury riddled Tampa Bay squad versus a clueless and directionless Giant team.

The Bucs have been especially hurt by injuries at the linebacker position. Kwon Alexander and Lavonte David are expected to be out. Much of their defensive unit will be made up of backup players today.

But Tampa Bay is in a nice spot here, from a betting perspective. They'll be hungry and angry, coming off a bad loss to Minnesota last week. The market is sour on them after last week's showing, and still remembers New York's backdoor cover against the Eagles.

Here's the bottom line of the situation...Beddy would much rather invest in these Buccaneer backups instead of a Giant coaching staff that is 100% lost.

The Giants have ZERO leadership, especially on the offensive side of the ball. They are fully deserving of their 0-3 record. Ben McAdoo looks like a deer in the headlights, despite his slick new haircut. Eli Manning has had an outstanding (and clutch) career, but has never been a vocal leader. Odell Beckham has made it clear that the G-Men are now "his" team, but he's only a few outbursts away from entering full melt-down-mode.

Speaking of leaders, Jameis Winston has quietly become one for this Tampa Bay organization. He's long removed from some questionable decisions he made during his time in college at Florida State. This guy's a pro now. And he hasn't been given proper credit for that yet. Look for him to be in full control this afternoon, from start to finish.

Beddy wraps it up with, "Winston/Koetter are at least 10-12 points better than Manning/McAdoo right now".

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Old Oct 4, 2017, 6:41pm   #7
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PJmarkets702 started this thread J.P. Evans is a grizzled Wall Street veteran who applies stock market strategies to picking sports winners.

His play for tonight is the Winnipeg Jets -107. They'll be at home to face a Maple Leaf team that's said to be on the rise. Toronto, no doubt, has flashier names on their roster (and coaching staff). Auston Matthews is a bonafide superstar. He heads a talented second-year group that will look to pick up where they left off last spring.

Inside the Jets organization, the mentality is that they've rebuilt their team "the right way". Winnipeg has been patiently drafting and developing young talent while avoiding chasing after high-priced free agents. But one important free agent they did sign during the summer is goalie Steve Mason. The hope is that Mason becomes a permanent solution in net.

J.P. sees value in the Jets here, in a line that's essentially a Pick'em. He says, "A Canadian opening night? It's like having home ice in a playoff game."

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Old Oct 7, 2017, 8:53pm   #8
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PJmarkets702 started this thread Henry "Hank" Kim is a math sharp and stat geek who's worked at numerous global financial firms. He cut his teeth in the betting world by handicapping horse races as a boy in China.

He's recommending a play on Oregon +3 today. They'll be at home to face a red-hot Washington State group in early-season Pac-12 play. The odds on this game opened at -1.5 but the number is now sitting at a full field goal, so we're getting the best of the number here.

Big questions marks loom for the Ducks on the offensive side of the ball. Justin Herbert won't start at QB because he suffered a broken collar bone last week. They've been secretive as to who will get the nod tonight, and Hank likes this. It will either be frosh Braxton Burmeister or senior Taylor Alie. (NOTE: Hank is betting this game in anticipation that the talented Burmeister will start.)

Washington St is still riding high from their signature upset victory against Sam Darnold and USC last week in a game that got tons of national attention. But the Ducks are also coming off an impressive win that received far less hype. They put up a solid 30-20 win against an underrated Cal team in which they completely shut down the Bears' running attack.

Look for Cougar QB Luke Falk to hold onto the ball too long today and get eaten up by an Oregon defense that's had 11 sacks in their last two outings.

Hank says, "Fading the public here...Ducks will get the money"

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Old Oct 8, 2017, 5:19pm   #9
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PJmarkets702 started this thread The Top Market offices are buzzing this morning because J.P. Evans has his first max play of the year. This is the type of game that's worth stepping out on...

No time for a big write-up, but here's what we can quickly report:

The play is the Seahawks +2 in the second wave of games. Seattle will visit sunny Los Angeles to face the upstart Rams.

Two things...First, expect the Coliseum to be the most quiet building to host a game today across the league. Oddsmakers are not fully factoring in the Rams (and Chargers) lack of home field advantage yet. Second, this is the time of year when hot new players such as Jared Goff start to get "figured out" by the opposition. Expect crafty old Pete Carroll (and defensive mastermind) to have a game plan prepared for the young Goff.

But let's be clear - this bet is certainly not a knock on the 2nd year Ram QB. He deserves props. Over 117 pass attempts this season, he's only thrown one interception. He's been almost flawless. And that's why J.P. is saying sharps are basically playing the overreaction to how much of a surprise he's been. That's the angle.

Don't forget - the Seahawks beat the Rams 24-3 last year in a game where Richard Sherman drilled Goff on a scramble along the sideline late in the second half. Goff has not forgotten this hit. It's also no secret around the league that Jared Goff does not like to get hit. Look for him to be slightly intimidated by this veteran Seattle defense today.

Bonus Plays: Panthers +1.5 and Cowboys -2
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Old Oct 10, 2017, 5:05pm   #10
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PJmarkets702 started this thread Henry "Hank" Kim goes to the ice tonight with his first pick of the NHL season. It's the Hurricanes -125. They'll be in Raleigh to welcome the Blue Jackets.

Some quick hitters on this one:

The two teams split their season series last year, each going 2-2 against the other.

This game will be broadcast on NHL.com for free. So no matter where you are, all you need is an internet connection. The league is doing 3-4 free games a week this fall, in order to give folks a taste of the full NHL.tv experience.

64% of the Public is backing Columbus as a dog (according to the Top Market Odds Portal @ 8:38AM PST). And that makes sense - the Blue Jackets are coming off a 100+ point season and they've been consistently making the playoffs the past few years. The Canes are extremely young and inexperienced. But you know what they say about public dogs - they often have fleas.

Hank says, "Pure price action play...the tape is talking."
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Old Oct 12, 2017, 8:08pm   #11
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PJmarkets702 started this thread J.P. Evans applies old-school stock market strategies to picking sports winners. He has been trading on Wall Street for almost 20 years.

His play for tonight is UNDER 7.5 in the Cubs/Nats series finale. Look for this game to be a tense, low-scoring affair.

Hendricks will pitch for the Cubs. Expect him pick up where he left off in Game 1, when he was dominant in a Chicago victory. His demeanor is perfect for a winner-take-all playoff game on the road in a hostile environment. Hendricks is not a guy who scares easy.

Dusty Baker has not yet announced who will start for the Nats. It'll either be Gio Gonzalez or Tanner Roark. Both are capable of getting the job done and they'll be up against a Chicago offense that is slumping, batting only .159 as a team in the series so far. Expect an all-hands-on-deck "platoon" mentality for Washington. If whoever starts has trouble, Scherzer will be available for a few innings to plug the hole.

Outside of a 4-run burst from the Nats in the 8th inning, yesterday's game was a defensive battle. J.P. feels it will be more of the same tonight, as both teams will be squeezing their bats tight in the big spot. J.P. says Hendricks is almost guaranteed to pitch a gem.

He also says, "Our model spit out 6.83 as a Total...this game will be a grind."
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Old Oct 15, 2017, 4:09pm   #12
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PJmarkets702 started this thread Good Morning Fellas,

We were forced to break even yesterday, despite going a documented 3-1 in free email picks. That Gators/Aggies game hurt, as it was our biggest monetary play of the day.

Here are three quick-hitters for Sunday:

Browns +9.5 --- Have to fade the Deshaun Watson hype here. Especially when he's facing the most hated team in the league (from a Public perspective).

Patriots -9 --- The only coach in the league who's (almost) more incompetent than Ben McAdoo is Todd Bowles. Don't let this Jet team fool you. They'll get slaughtered today.

Cardinals +1.5 --- Arizona will most likely win outright, but just pass on the ML +105. Take the short number and enjoy the minor upset. The Bucs might turn out to be an even bigger disappointment than the Cards by the end of the season.

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Old Oct 16, 2017, 11:46pm   #13
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PJmarkets702 started this thread Here's something our group was kicking around during this morning's conference call:

In the NFL, obviously the "key numbers" are 7 and 3 (and in certain cases 10) because games often end with a team winning by a touchdown or field goal. When a spread breaks thru a key number, that move must be given a bit more respect.

What do you think? Is a line going from 6.5 to 7.5 any different than when a line goes from 8.5 to 9.5? It's something our network was debating...

Tonight's Colts/Titans game is floating at a key. It's moved off 7.5 to mostly 7's with juice involved. If the market broke all the way down to 6.5, that would be interesting. But either way, most of us are sitting this one out.

Bonus NHL Action Play: Red Wings +110

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Old Oct 18, 2017, 6:53pm   #14
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PJmarkets702 started this thread Hi Everyone..

It seems like just yesterday that we were in the dog days of late summer with nothing to bet on except baseball. Now, with football in full-swing and the NBA starting up, this is a busy time of year for professional sports investors.

Make no mistake...the amount of value on a nightly basis in the NBA is nothing short of tremendous.....if you know what to look for.

NOTE: The idea is to make money doing this. This is NOT for fun. If your bankroll isn't growing, then either stop completely or change your strategy.

Tonight, consider playing the Wizards -6.5 in the Association. They'll be in D.C. to host the 76ers.

The noise coming out of Philly is, "the rebuild is complete!!". But that might be wishful thinking, for a variety of reasons. Expect them to look like a Developmental team at times, especially during the first month of the season.

The Sixers were the worst team in the league when it came to turning the ball over last season. They coughed it up 16.7 times per game in 2016. For Washington, John Wall is hungry and rested. He and his teammates are ball hawks, too. In fact, they created more turnovers than any other team in the NBA last year.

One of our sharper sources had a hot take this morning. He said, "Ben Simmons will struggle. Having him on the floor in a starting role right now is worth 2-3 points in the opponent's favor."

Ouch!

-------

Last edited by Trader333; Apr 28, 2018 at 7:11pm.
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Old Oct 23, 2017, 8:41pm   #15
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PJmarkets702 started this thread You want our advice? Put on a pot of coffee and then bet 20k on the Suns +2.

Some smart people are reportedly beginning to establish a position on them and bite on the 2. It's the late game...last game on the board. An 0-3 Phoenix team will be at home to face the Sac Kings.

Not only are the Suns 0-3, they're dealing with an unhappy Eric Bledsoe who tweeted "I Dont wanna be here" yesterday. This stunt set off a social media firestorm speculating on the mood of the Phoenix locker room as a whole.

The Suns opened as high as -2.5 favorites. Early this morning, the line was steady at -1...they were still the small favorite. But money has been coming in so lopsided in favor of Sacramento that now the Suns are +2. This is a full 4.5 point swing from the opener!!

The timing also matters. Big sharp money would have moved earlier on the Kings if they were really interested. The Bledsoe incident is almost 24 hours old. Our feeling is that dead Public money is responsible for the latest move and this should be taken advantage of.
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