I blew it again

dccruibay

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Ive been trading for over a year now and in my first 8 months i must have blown my account(large accounts) atleast 3 times. All the mistakes that is humanly possible to make, i made them.

Last August i started to become more disciplined and was starting to break even. Just towards the end of the month, i got into a winning trade by pure luck. It was one of those chronic(1 sided fast moving) moves, i pyramided my way and stuck with it for almost 160 pips netting me a 40% gain. I was on top of the world. Sure by this time my account was very small and the gains were lightyears from making up for what ive lost since i started, but on record this was the first profitable month i had ever had. I saw the power of what letting your profits ride could do.

Come following months, i not only lost all my profits, but reduced my account to a third of it's size. I was chasing the euro on it's way up. On hindsight i find that my fundamentalist nature tends to get in the way. The Euro was rising from 1.18 all the way to 1.42. There was no fundamental reason why this should happen, because the debt problems had not disappeared over night and i kept shorting it and kept getting stopped out.

All this while, despite all my repeated mistakes, losses and margin calls, i always felt that i would figure this out one day. I started reflecting on what ive been doing all this while and came to a eureka moment. IF, since the time i started trading, i had done the exact opposite of what ive done all this while, i would have doubled my original account. I went through my transaction logs and saw that i was continually taking very small profits and taking very large losses to the point that a single loss could wipe out all my profits and account. I told myself, if i could just invert this one point, i should in theory make money.

I started using strict stoplosses of 1-2% of my account. I still did not have any system for entering my trades, one time it could be a moving average cross on any 5min, another it could be 3hr timeframe or even based on gutfeel. But i always used a stoploss of 1-2% and never added to my losing positions. If a trade went in my favour for over 20-30 pips, i did not take profit, instead i added on and moved both my stoplosses such that i would break even on net if it retraced. As you can imagine, 75% of my trades were losing trades, maybe 20% breakeven. But once in awhile i would get into a big move and coupled with pyramiding, i would make a huge profit.
In about 1 and half months, i doubled my account. I was still losing most of my trades but the drawdown was so small and managable that a single big move would cover that and give me a new equity high.

This week, the market was extremely choppy. It would drop 30-40 pips then rally 50 pips then drop 60 pips. Using my strat, i was getting slaughtered. For the past 2 days i suffered a total of 10% drawdown. But i was sticking to my rules. Today however, i shorted the euro. I knew that regardless of Portugals auction results, it would tank, ive seen the market do this before. If the auction was bad, it would tank, if it turned out good, it would still tank being a typical case of buy the rumour sell the fact. Coupled with the fact that i had been on a very very long losing streak(15+ losses) and being so sure, i started adding to my losing position. But i did not move my stop. Just when it looked like the price was starting to turn, it shot up again and I got stopped out in the European open. Next rule i broke was reentering with the cumulative size of my previous positions. Just before the auction results came out, i got stopped out again.

Then suddenly the euro started to tank. This made me absolutely mad, I was right all along but got stopped out just before the news release. It is perfectly all right to be stopped out when you are wrong and the price went against you, but being right, going through the agony for the entire day watching the price move against you plus the heavy position(cos of adding on) and then getting stopped out and watching the price go in your direction was too much for me. I shorted the largest position i could. For awhile i saw the price go my favour, but i wasnt even nearing my day's starting balance after my losses earlier. Then the price started to retrace beyond what i would deem a retracement and i took what i could. It was a small profit but i was still down for the day. THen it started to tank again and i broke another rule, i got back into the trade with max position. Well it went against me and i did not close it early enough for fear of seeing it tank as soon as i closed it.

Now im sitting here with my account at 75% of it's size it was couple of days back. Thoughts of giving up are starting to come on my mind. I havnt felt this low since my last margin call. At the rate i was losing this week, i felt that even if i did not break any of my rules, i would still slowly lose everything. I still don't have a criteria for entering my trades and my strategy works only when i get in early enough(Anything less than 70-80 pips, i usually only break even). But pyschologically my strategy is not sustainable. Losing/breaking even for 95% of my trades during a long losing streak is something i have shown to be incapable of handling.

I know i probably wont quit, because having a day job is not for me in the long term, id prefer to start my own business to do what i like to do without worrying about it's profitability. You are probably wondering why i even wrote this here, but i just needed to vent it out somewhere and maybe someone who has made it and is more experienced can tell me that what i went through is normal. Hell, even Livermore went broke several times in his life.
 
I know it's difficult, but controlling your emotions is very important, and getting mad when the EURO tanks, even though you were correct on the trend, shows that perhaps this is an area where you may need to work on your trading skills.

Bear in mind that areas of support and resistance are just that - AREAS. They can easily be exceeded by many pips before continuing on their original path. This is what makes trading interesting, exciting and just plain f0cked-up.

WF
 
Sorry to hear, you wont be the only who's done that, I don't mind admitting I blew my first 2 accounts, before I learnt how to trade.

You have already highlighted a few areas, taking profit early and accepting losses to late, you mention you attitude to stop losses, but you state, you really don't have a clue about entry, and then you wonder why your losing hand over fist.

If I may suggest, no more trading until you have a plan than covers everything you should know before you enter a trade, eg: when I'm looking to place a trade, I already know what the entry and exit criteria are, stop and limit positions etc etc, its robust and mechanical and consistent in the approach, the time after time etc.

Just a thought, hope it helps, and down get to downbeat.
 
An excellent and very honest post. You should be highly commended for it.

You mentioned Livermore at the end. Have you read Reminiscences? The answer to most of your problems, particularly the very serious ones, are in there.

If you read it early on in your career, but haven't done so in a while, go back to it. It all suddenly makes a lot of sense once you've been through the wringer yourself.

Read it. It will help you. If you want me to mention some specific areas, let me know. The good news is that your problems are self-inflicted and it is within your power to solve them.
 
don't bother asking this joker anything, it's a copy/paste job :LOL:

dig him in the ribs a bit before the lock ;)

Dirty sonofab1tch!

I hope he gets crabs and his pecker shrivels up. I did wonder why someone with a trainer's badge would be posting this though.
 
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