FXCM Discussion
This is a discussion on FXCM Discussion within the Forex Brokers forums, part of the Trading Brokers category; Hi Everyone, I have created this thread to answer any questions about FXCM and forex trading. Please feel free to ...
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| Legendary Member |
Hi Everyone, I have created this thread to answer any questions about FXCM and forex trading. Please feel free to post any questions and I will do my best to answer them. I cannot publicly discuss the details of any clients trading activity, so please privately message with regards to personal issues. Kind Regards, Jason Rogers FXCM |
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| Legendary Member | Quote:
Your information here is incorrect. The banks providing liquidity to FXCM take mini lots of 10k in addition to 100k standard lots. Your statement may have been correct in the early 2000’s when you traded with FXCM, but this is no longer true. Technology progresses. I’m happy to announce that we are also preparing to offer No Dealing Desk execution for our micro clients as well. When we first launched FXCM Micro, we planned to offer No Dealing Desk execution. However, the banks would not stream prices in micro lots. This was simply unheard of in the foreign exchange industry. Our FXCM Micro traders have since placed over 30 million trades totaling 200 billion in notional volume, and the banks have changed their minds. Where there’s a will, there’s a way, and the banks have realized the opportunity in taking even these trades. As one of the largest forex brokers, the amount of volume we bring to the table allows us to negotiate this type of service to pass along to our traders. Quote:
Quick example. Let’s suppose there are 2 banks (to keep things simple) each providing liquidity in GBP/USD. Bank A is quoting 1.5043 bid and 1.5045 ask Bank B is quoting 1.5042 bid and 1.5044 ask So the best bid/offer engine sees two prices being quoted on each side (bid and ask). It then identifies the best price out of the selection which is 1.50430 bid from Bank A and 1.50440 from Bank B. The spread is 1 pip. At this point, a fixed pip mark-up is added to the bid/ask and streamed onto the platform. Assuming there is a 1 pip mark-up on GBP/USD, the final pricing you see on the platform would be 1.5042/1.5045 for a 3 pip spread on GBP/USD. FXCM is compensated for it’s services through a mark-up on the spread as explained on the website and what you pointed out. This is the fee paid for using FXCM’s services. On the FX Trading Station II, this entire process in the pricing engine occurrs with 10 separate banks providing liquidity. I’ll go into further detail about the off-setting process of No Dealing Desk execution further below. Quote:
Suppose you want to buy GBP/USD and the current market price you see on the platform is 1.5045 and assume that the mark-up on the buy price is 1 pip. Therefore bank A is offering to sell GBP/USD at the price 1.5044 and FXCM is charging and additional pip so you see the price 1.5045 on the platform. When you press the buy button, the order is sent to FXCM, and FXCM routes the order to Bank A to execute a trade at the price 1.5044. If liquidity is still available at that price the trade is executed. Confirmation is sent back to the platform and you see an open long (buy) position at the price 1.5045. The bank has a short position at the price 1.5044 and FXCM has made a pip on the trade. If your trade can’t be executed with Bank A at the price you clicked on, then one of two things can happen: slippage or trade rejection (depending on the type of order submitted). Let’s assume this is an At Best market order which will be filled at the best price available. If Bank A sends back a message that the order can’t be filled at the price 1.5044, then the order will be executed at the next best available price. Bank B is offering to sell to you at the price 1.5045. The order is sent to Bank B and executed at the price 1.5045. You have a long position at 1.5046 (due to the 1 pip mark-up), Bank B has a short position at the price 1.5045, and FXCM made 1 pip on the trade. Regardless of the amount you make or lose on the trade, FXCM is left with 1 pip. Your profit or loss is not FXCM’s loss or gain since we are not acting as a market maker on No Dealing Desk execution. Neither is slippage an additional gain for FXCM since the same pip amount is paid. Quote:
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Restrictions on stops, limits, and pending entry orders often occur with market makers or dealing desk brokers. This occurs because bank spreads are variable, while dealing desk market makers are normally fixed. Therefore, if a bank provides a 5 pip spread and the dealing desk broker is guaranteeing a 2 pip spread, the dealing desk broker will lose 3 pips on each trade. To mitigate this risk, restrictions on orders may be imposed. If the dealing desk broker chooses a restriction of 5 pips then they have mitigated their risk to 7 pips (5 pip restriction + 2 pip spread). Unless bank spreads widen past 7 pips, the dealing desk broker is protected. During news events and volatile markets, bank spreads can easily widen beyond this amount, which is why dealing desk brokers may heighten restrictions when the market is likely to move. Quote:
-Jason PS. This response is a reply to this post http://www.trade2win.com/boards/fore...ml#post1069828 | ||||||
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| Senior Member | Quote:
Are you saying that FXCM offers Straight Through Processing to Interbank for its customers? We already know that's incorrect. Why? Because I've already pointed out that FXCM manipulates the inbound Bid/Ask to fuel its revenue model. FXCM makes revenues by artificially widening the Bid/Ask to install its "commission like" fee. Yet, FXCM Advertises that it does not charge a commission. Not only is this confusing to the Newbie, it is flat out incorrect in at least two (2) dimensions: a) Cost Structure of the Trade to the Newbie. b) Whether or not the Newbie is actually dealing direct with Interbank through its Intermediary via STP. In the case of FXCM, neither can be true, as I will demonstrate later in this thread with some simple math and some rather interesting facts about the market players and what their turn-over is in this business. Quote:
You've found a way to carve out a niche and execute a business case. I've got no problem with that. What I have a problem with, is the fact that you've been telling people for years that FXCM carries its Customer direct to Interbank, which is totally incorrect. There is no "Mini Lot Notional Value" concept and/or language being used between the institutions that make up Interbank and that deal with each other daily. The primarily deal in fractions of Yards not Mini Lots. Firms like FXCM and others, take multiple positions from various customers and push them through an aggregation algorithm that consolidates desperate customer positions into singular blocks that can be transacted in the real Interbank market. If you don't do this or can't do this, then you are forced to either build your own proprietary pool of liquidity and then market the heck out of it as "Bank" driven, or you must reside your firm to being a PayPal Bucket House and exploit other marketing niches such as the Mini and Micro Lot worlds, where the people you engage don't typically have a clue about what they are doing and/or why they are doing it. This means that BEFORE any individual FXCM customer gets off-set anywhere near Interbank, FXCM must either 'batch' the trade into an aggregate and THEN pass it along as a block [if calculations permit], or trade against it as the in-house counter to the customers position. That Trader has no idea that their trade has been "pooled," "aggregated" and/or "transformed" into a larger block, with their original trade often times never seeing the light of day at the actual Interbank level on an individual basis and I can think of one of your current ASP customers right now who does this very thing to their own Customer transactions. Now, this "Mini Lot" concept that FXCM offers, is made possible not because Interbank deals in "Mini Lots," but because FXCM "might have" worked a deal with its proprietary pool members, to accept smaller fractional sizes. But, FXCM does not make a market for every single player in Interbank, not even close. FXCM has a proprietary list of liquidity providers under its own platform and many of them are NOT large scale Interbank players, while some, I am sure, might be. Do you think that I can enter a trade on Deutsche Bank's Autobahn FX platform, or the UBS FX Trade platform, or the Barclays BARX platform, or the HSBCnet FX Network platform, or the Standard Chartered CT platform; in fractional, so-called "Mini Lots?" To the contrary, FXCM and the rest of the firms like it, have put together a proprietary pricing pool, that in no way should be confused by the Newbie as having much to do with Interbank pricing depth and breadth. FXCM has put together and maintains a Retail FX Price Pool. That is not - I repeat - not truly representative of Interbank in any real depth or dimension. Of course, simply posting the full names of the "Banks" that FXCM uses, would be a good start to ending this debate. But, how many times has that request been completely ignored. Quote:
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Fee for Service? Sure, I've got no problem at all with FXCM making an honest buck. My problem comes when you Broker's widen the spread near the Stop on purpose, just so the Stop itself gets triggered when you took the other side of the trade. Look, I'm not one of these Stop Hunting Theorists. That makes no sense to me. However, I do believe in Stop Trigger Approximations (my term, don't bother looking it up) by Brokers who see a clustering of Stops at or near a specific location/level, and then who use their so-called "Trade Management" Add-On (server side model) to "Widen The Spread" at or near the "cluster" to take-out what the actual Interbank market NEVER ticked. Now, FXCM might not be a "Stop Hunter," but are you telling me that FXCM is not a Stop Trigger Approximation artist in disguise? You can deny it if you want - I would not be surprised if you did. I'm just here to let the Newbies in on what I think after many years in this business - that's all. Quote:
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a) How does the Newbie know that "Bank A" still offers the best price at time of execution, if the Trader can't see depth, breadth and volume offered by the proprietary FXCM pool? The Trader, will have to assume and accept that the FXCM algorithm is working in their (the Trader's) best interest and accurately providing "Best Bid." b) Is that a realistic assumption that Trader's should be asked to make in this seriously flawed FX Broker environment where scams are the rule rather than the exception? c) Why not simply code the platform to SHOW the Trader what "Best Bid" looks like and WHERE "Best Bid" originates? That would demonstrate real transparency on the part of FXCM, if it would do that. d) Since you argue (above) that FXCM offers STP to Interbank, I will ask you yet again, how is it possible for FXCM to pass through fractional lots to a system that's been around far longer than FXCM and that does not deal in fractional lot sizing? Are you possibly confusing Interbank with FXCM's Proprietary Pool of private players? I'm sorry, but 10 banks does not make-up even the tiniest of majority of the Interbank pool of liquidity. So when you say "Best Bid" - how does FXCM have the slightest clue what "Best Bid" truly looks like juxtaposed against the real Interbank global network? Quote:
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Again, Newbies need to fully understand the differential between a Market Makers Proprietary List of Business Partners (some of which will be banks and some will not) -vs- the real Interbank market, which is Global in scope with a very high spectrum of variability in pricing and volume available. Quote:
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Jason, this was a $3.2 Trillion per day market in 2007, with a 3 year growth rate of approximately 69% and no end in sight for that rate of growth. It was projected to be over $5.4 Trillion per day at the end of 2010, by a very reputable source. So, let's do some fairly uncomplicated mathematics here, shall we. Using $5 Trillion per day, $50 million yields a quotient of precisely 0.00001% of total daily notional turn-over. Now, before you go math guru on me, let me adjust this figure DOWN by saying that of course, not all $5 Trillion turn-over in FX is strictly pair/spot based transaction totals. Excluding swaps (because they represented more than half the growth rate between 2004 to 2007), outright forward contracts (which grew by 80% internally the same period), hedging activity, etc.; you are left with just spot, which grew by itself by 59% for the exact same period of 2004 to 2007, setting the stage for the 2010 expectations. Note that spot growth was greater from 2001 to 2004, than from 2004 to 2007. [I'm presenting all values in USD for ease of use.] Let's move on to Banks - real Banks, Jason. In 2007, the dispersion of FX turn-over with the Banks that make up the vast majority of real liquidity in the Interbank system, shows that the U.K., Hong Kong, Singapore and the United States, led the turn-over activity with 75% of the total turn-over being led by Banks from ten (10) different countries. Not merely "10 Banks" but 10 different countries. In 2007, the four most turned-over currencies were the: USD, EURO, JPY and the GBP with NZD, CAD, CHF, CNY and a few others picking up the rear. The Daily turn-over by pair was as follows for 2007, Jason: EURUSD = $840 BLN per day USDJPY = $397 BLN per day GBPUSD = $361 BLN per day AUDUSD = $175 BLN per day USDCHF = $143 BLN per day USDCAD = $115 BLN per day Excluding EURJPY, EURGBP and EURCHF (the Triple "A" Ball Club) whose grand total Daily turn-over for 2007 was a combined $188 BLN per day alone and the remaining USD/Other and EUR/Other whose Daily grand total turn-over was a "tiny" $684 BLN per day, you are left with a boiled down representation of mainstream FX Daily turn-over of a very "small" $2.031 Trillion PER DAY. Now, all joking aside about small numbers. If you scale that number up by approximately 59% growth [projected], you end up with between $2.031 to $3.229 Trillion PER DAY being traded in FX Spot ONLY between 2007 and the projected 2010 event horizon. Now, can you explain to us exactly WHY FXCM, with its "Banks" offering the best liquidity anywhere in the Retail FX business food chain, has decided to classify a lousy $50 million notional, as something that would most likely trigger a "slip and fall" merely because it was clicked into the market at one time? Given the scope of the numbers just put up here, does this make any sense to you? $50MM is approximately 0.000024% of $2.031 Trillion. So, you are saying that FXCM's "deep pool of liquidity" is not capable of a singular transaction that nets less than a fraction of a fraction of a fraction of 1% of the total spot market? And, that if you attempted to enter the market at one time with such massive sums, it would immediately trigger not "Apocalypse Now" - but Apocalypse Right Now among the "Banks" in the FXCM pool? Is this proof positive that FXCM is mostly a Bucket Shop and not a real STP Interbank Intermediary? Have I not just driven the last nail into the coffin of FXCM being a true STP "FX Broker?" What's the other logical alternative explanation for why FXCM considers $50MM to be Apocalyptic and virtually guaranteed to trigger a "slip and fall" routine? Quote:
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We are not talking about Cost Basis (equity) here. The numbers that I refer to above are taken straight from BIS and they represent notional value in USD not individual transaction Cost Basis to make the deal. So, "scaling" a lousy $10MM notional is definitely not the same thing as scaling $10MM Cost Basis with its associated leverage. Tell me, who would possibly be so overly concerned with somebody coming to market with a small $50MM notional at one click, other than Bucket Shops and Brokers taking the other side of your trade? Do you think Citibank cares about my $50MM notional coming to market in one click? These guys are tossing around billions per day. So, how is it that FXCM, with all of its glorious "liquidity" can't manage a drop in the proverbial "Bucket" with a singular click - unless it had to balance its own books with the opposing risk involved in the trade itself? Sooner or later, you were going to walk right into this trap. Quote:
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Thank you for dropping your quarter in the machine and selecting my favorite tune - The Forex! I look forward to your many replies as this is getting really good!
__________________ TradeSMART, by Always Managing your Positions. | ||||||||||||||||||
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The post above is recommended by: alphadude |
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| Legendary Member | Quote:
I’m saying what was explained in the previous detailed post and example. FXCM’s platform receives liquidity from 10 banks. As someone places a trade, each order is individually executed back to back through an affiliate with one of those banks. The orders are not aggregated as you incorrectly described. (More thoughts further below in my post on why I think your use of the term "Interbank" as a noun is misleading, as compared to the interbank market which is not a centralized location or platform with which you can offset trades). On any page of FXCM’s website where it says there are no commissions, it also states that FXCM is compensated through the spread. And it also states there is a mark-up no the spread which is how FXCM is compensated http://www.fxcm.co.uk/execution-advantage.jsp. Quote:
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No Dealing Desk executions eliminates the conflict of interest caused when you trade directly with a market maker taking the opposite side of your position. When trading with a market maker, there’s the potential for the broker to profit directly from your losing trades which means it’s in your brokers best interest for you to lose money. No Dealing Desk execution offsets each trade directly with a bank or financial institution eliminating this conflict of interest. Instead revenue on FXCM’s NDD execution is driven by volume and not client losses. Each time a trade is placed, we earn a mark-up through the spread. The more you trade, the more mark-ups we make. If you wish to call it a commission so be it; however, no additional commission is charged beyond the spread as you may have in other markets. Our cost is incorporated into the spread (Note: the active trader setup provides reduced spreads with a commission instead). -Jason Last edited by Jason Rogers; Mar 5, 2010 at 1:09pm. | |||||
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| Senior Member | Quote:
You keep referring readers to the United Kingdom. FXCM is not based in the United Kingdom. FXCM is based in the United States and subject to CFTC rules and regulations. Try this website: http://www.fxcm.com. Go look at the marketing copy and read it carefully. "No Dealing Desk Means No Dealer Intervention." No Entry Order Restrictions." "No Conflict of Interest Between You and FXCM - We Want Profitable Traders!" Then read the tiny print Daggers and Bullet Points at the bottom of the site. This is ALL deceptive Marketing no matter how much you attempt to nonsequitur your way out of this. And, nobody understanding anything about this business is in agreement to the contrary. Quote:
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At $1MM notional, all it would take is 50 traders entering the market at roughly the same time (what are the odds of that happening) to run the FXCM maximum size limitation through to its trigger. Another 50 traders (total 100) and you've got double the trouble of getting these people filled. Triple it, quadruple it, etc. Get the picture. The little Dagger Fine Print text at the bottom of the www.fxcm.com website, telling people that there is a $50MM notional single order limit, is not there merely because the order comes from a singular trader. It is there for a completely different reason. Therefore, what's the difference is one (1) trader executes on $50MM notional at once -vs- 50 traders executing on $1MM notional, likewise, at once - on the exact same pair? Liquidity is not allocated per trader - there is no headcount given to liquidity, is there. The first traders to the party, get the fresh pumpkin spice - the rest get what others pick over. Otherwise, why place any limit at all on single click orders? Now, I know what your answer is going to be before you give it, so let me do the honors for you. You were about to say: 'Well, just because the platform has a $50MM notional limit per click, does not mean that our Banks don't can't handle more volume. It simply means that our Banks don't typically take the opposite side of positions larger than $50MM notional at one time. That's why you have to enter another Market or Entry Order, if you intend to get filled in excess of $50MM notional.' How did I do? Pretty good? Yeah, well - here's the problem with that: The Daily turn-over by pair was as follows for 2007, Jason: Quote:
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By your own definition, some of your liquidity providers are offering less volume per pair, which only makes it harder to provide enough liquidity to handle singular trades in excess of $50MM notional. Yet, this still soars in the face of a market with more than $2.031 Trillion in combined turn-over (not including the projected increases for 2007 to 2010) in spot alone! So, all you FX Brokers out there with notional value restrictions on single trades, are going to have to go back to the drawing board and derive a different excuse for why you are restricting single order trades down to $50MM notional, because claiming that 0.000025% of the total market, is somehow going to cause a "liquidity problem," stretches incredulity to say the least. The fact of the matter is that $50MM notional is a tiny trade that in no way should automatically trigger the a "slip." FXCM boasts that it offers the most liquidity among all FX Brokers. Yet, it has difficult not slipping a tiny order of $50MM notional. That is logically unsustainable. Quote:
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The overriding implication for any FX Intermediary to any prospective new customer (Newbie Trader), is that they (the FX Intermediary) will carry their customer's trade to the Interbank System. I mean, really. If that is not the overwhelming suggestion and understanding that traders have coming into to this business, then what else could be. For the Retail Trader, Interbank is synonymous with Forex. However, historically, Interbank transactions excluded Retail turn-over and predominantly included Bank-to-Bank turn-over.[/b] In fact, if you read (and I strongly suggest that you do) the BIS report, you will not that these types of Bank-to-Bank transactions account for approximately 50% of all currency turn-over in 2004 and actually increased as a percentage in 2007. However, for the majority of the Banks that make up the Interbank System, Interbank is indeed much more of a "noun" than you might think. Inside Banks (if you have ever worked in one) this term is often times used just like a "noun" between the Bank's various trading desks, or between one Bank branch and another, who might be engaged in trading with each other. Quote:
Now, that was taken directly from the FXCM User Guide on your Web Portal. FXCM, clearly is telling its users by logical implication and extension that their orders are being taken to the Interbank System. Did you think I was just making this stuff up? I pulled it directly from the FXCM site. FXCM, does sell the notion, concept and the implication, but it does not deliver on the promise. How do we know? Because you can't fill an order that represents a lousy 0.000025% of the total Interbank Market. That - is how I know. If FXCM was truly taking the Newbie to Interbank, then this trade size would be no problem at all, single click, or a hundred clicks, it would not matter at 0.000025%. Again, what FXCM is selling is logically unsustainable given the mathematics. Quote:
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Were you aware FXCM's competition and the fact that they actually embed the list of banks that provide liquidity to their platforms into the face of their website? Why don't these FX Intermediaries have NDAs that prevent them from informing their customers who they do business with? Again, logically unsustainable and really, in truth, this one makes no sense at all. If your competition can do it, then you can do it. Quote:
Even at the Retail level, you should be offering: If Then, Or, And, Not and Else logic to your OCO order ticket functionality. This should not have to be considered Robot and/or EA territory requiring a full blown API intervention. Things like this would support the new statement on the FXCM website, that FXCM seriously wants "Profitable Traders!" Quote:
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BTW - does Leticia still work for you guys, or did you send her back to Paris and hire Timothy instead? Look, here's the deal. You were one of the first on the Retail block - I'll give you that, congratulations! You went out and acquired more traders than most, initially. You made some "promises" to some "commercial and institutional sources of liquidity," that you would deliver the goods. Some stayed with you over the years and some left you (I bet you did not know that I knew that). You obtained more credit from some banks and eventually told them that you wanted to build more deposits and the only real way to do that, would be to declare FXCM as the new No Dealing Desk King of the world. So, you got a Bank or two, or three, or four together (10, I'm not buying it, yet) and sold them on the idea that this could be a way for them to tap into the "Retail" space, where they don't already have Retail Trading platforms or the back-office ramped up to handle the load themselves. So, they "extended" you some "favors" but limited and restricted the liquidity to the Nth degree. You got to call yourself "NDD" and they go to tap into the "Retail" without the upfront cost of developing that market on their own. Now, Jason - if you try to rebut that basic story line in any real significant way, your stock price will drop like a rock with me, personally - because I really do like your attitude and disposition. Face it! The story outline I just wrote, is most likely spot on, is it not? You get a "little" and they get a "little." Quid pro quo, but certainly NOT Interbank grade business, Jason - most certainly not. No Dealing Desk, No Dealing Desk, No Dealing Desk, No Dealing Desk - come on, Jason. It is like Vaporware was to the old software industry. We are talking Tiny Town, here. If you say, No Dealing Desk, one more time, I'm going to puke. It is NOT broad Interbank, Jason and it does not scale. That is the entire point of this exercise for me. To make sure the Newbie does not run off half cocked, thinking that they are actually out there trading with real Interbank rates that are not being manipulated with widening spreads and aggregation algos. Just like I said in the other thread - there are three markets levels here we call Forex: Hybrid High Retail Mark-Up, Lots of Scams with Little Pass Through to Interbank, if at all (Tiny Town). Commercial Wholesale Mark-Up, Business/Commerce Transactions. (Where the Adults Live & Work) Interbank Par Based Bank Hedging against Massive Dissimilar Portfolio Holdings Across the Board. (Where Entire World's Collide - Literally) These are the most fundamental layers of our industry, Jason. FXCM's product line fits the Tiny Town model - pure and simple.
__________________ TradeSMART, by Always Managing your Positions. | |||||||||||||||
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| | #6 |
| Rookie |
Very interesting discussion. I do tend to agree with a lot of TradeNumber7's points that FXCM are being somewhat misleading. However, in this day and age, it seems standard to exaggerate what you're offering and then cover your ass in the small print. I am curious about your maths on volume TradeNumber7, so perhaps you will explain to me, because I have also asked a question about why the volum ein forex is touted as so large, yet appears relatively small. I'm in no way an expert on this, and 10m notional is far more than I trade in one go, never mind 50m. But back to the maths. Suppose we take Cable, and you suggest it has/had notional volume 360 billion per day. Lets also suppose for simplicity that we will consider 20 hours of trading in the day. This leaves a notional volume of 18 billion per hour, which leaves a notional volume of 300 million per minute, or 50 million every 10 seconds. Now in light of this maths, the 50 million limit seems more than reasonable. After all, FXCM only claim to have 10 banks as liquidity providers, and not all business is done electronically, an old fashioned phone call accounts for a large % right? 50m every 10 seconds is the average done for the ENTIRE market. Of course I understand there will be greater liquidity at different points in the day and at particular price levels, it is not evenly distributed. But you can click in one second. Several traders can all trade at once. Why do you consider 50m as a paltry sum under these considerations? How much is really offered on the interbank market at one click? I am confused, because like you tradenumber7, I imagined the market to be huge, and a typical retail trader shouldn't be reaching the max trade size so soon, but then given the maths divided down over time, and the number of trades out there I'm surprised they can even offer as much as 10m in one go. |
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| | #7 | |
| Legendary Member | Quote:
The forex market is not traded over one central exchange, so your access to that liquidity is dependent on the amount of liquidity being offered through the platform you are using. Also, I understand how you divided average liquidity to equally spread it out; however, volume will be higher during peak trading hours so it will not always be so evenly divided. -Jason | |
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| | #8 | |
| Senior Member | Quote:
Well, let's look at that. How big would a $500,000.00 cost basis trade be on the NYSE, NASDAQ, AMEX, LSE, TSE, HKSE, ASE, Euronext, etc.? There are two dozen major exchanges in the world for equities and in none of them would a $500k underlying transaction, melt-down the exchange, or call for restrictions by an intermediary because liquidity was lacking (I'm not referring to the OTC or Pink Sheet markets where $500k might make you the market). Now, let's place some contrast on this discussion to highlight a couple of points. The Average Daily Dollar Volume traded for all U.S. equities markets in January 2010, was $28.1 BLN. The Average Daily Notional Dollar Volume traded for all Currencies was $30.8 BLN on HotSpot FX alone, for January 2010. A $500k cost basis trade would not be enough to invoke a liquidity problem in the non-otc and non-pink sheet traded stocks in the U.S. Yet, this same $500k cost basis trade (at 100:1 leverage), entered through the FXCM trading platform, would trigger a virtual guarantee (according to their rep here) that you get "slipped." Yet, the EURUSD alone turns-over $860 BLN per day, which is 27.9 times larger (approximate). What Jason is saying is true. FX liquidity does fluctuate. However, this is almost like saying, the sky is blue, or the ocean is filled with water. Fluctuation in FX liquidity can be easily seen by simply opening up any charting package you prefer and turning "On" the volume indicator using a simple 1 hour chart. You will see the specific times when the volume for any currency pair is light or heavy. The reason the volume surges in FX is so noticeable and pronounced, has nothing to do with average and/or overall lack of volume and everything to do with the corresponding opening and closing of equities markets around the world. Why? Because the largest component of FX turn-over still happens to be Bank led and Banks are open during the normal business hours associated with a particular country. That time-frame also overlaps the respective nation's equity market trading hours. Most of us around the world, conduct our FX trading during some period of high, medium of low FX volume - not because it is lacking overall, but merely because of the time-zone differentials between one equities market around the world and another. Still, regardless of time-zone, the EURUSD will turn-over about $860 BLN with the next 24 hours, alone. Again, more detailed proof that what most FX traders don't realize, is that they are not trading into the very deep liquidity that exists within the Interbank system, when they use a classic Retail FX Intermediary. Bottom line. Therefore, how does any Retail FX Intermediary guarantee you the best FX rates, when they are not offering you access to the deep end of the Interbank pool? Again: Retail Wholesale Interbank That's the current state of things right now in this business. The problem I have with the whole thing, is that Newbies are getting snowed by unscrupulous FX Dealers, Market Makers, FCMs and Brokers, who are selling them the false hope that their Retail pricing actually matches that which is found in the deeper end of the Interbank liquidity pool. Your Retail Broker is telling you that a lousy $500k cost basis trade will virtually guarantee that you get "slipped," in light of what we know about the size, depth and breadth of the real Interbank market, regardless of time-of-day driven volume tides. 0.000025% of total market might be difficult to get filled on Saturday or Sunday (before the London open), but Monday through Friday (prior to U.S. close), it simply should not ever be a problem. I trade beyond this level and don't have a problem getting filled, yet FXCM is telling you that you will virtually write your own "slip" rule, if you do the same on their platform. Newbies need to be aware of this as they make the journey to the Meca of all that is FX, 'Lost' Vegas, for some 'serious' trading talk. A little truth in advertising never hurts the customer and customers should be educated about their buying decisions. That's all I'm pointing out here - nothing more and nothing less.
__________________ TradeSMART, by Always Managing your Positions. | |
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