Any Safe Soccer Betting Strategy ?

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Old Aug 6, 2010, 12:48pm   #1
Joined Nov 2006
Any Safe Soccer Betting Strategy ?

Hellooooooooo brudderz.............

any safe soccer betting strategy to recommend ?

i'm not looking for tips but a mechanical strategy that can consistently make some profit............i know it's not gonna make me a millionaire.........
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Old Sep 23, 2010, 7:54pm   #2
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Re: Any Safe Soccer Betting Strategy ?

Quote:
Originally Posted by findcount View Post
Hellooooooooo brudderz.............

any safe soccer betting strategy to recommend ?

i'm not looking for tips but a mechanical strategy that can consistently make some profit............i know it's not gonna make me a millionaire.........
I wouldn't waste too much time looking if I were you bruv init.
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Old Nov 2, 2010, 1:49pm   #3
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Re: Any Safe Soccer Betting Strategy ?

Quote:
Originally Posted by findcount View Post
Hellooooooooo brudderz.............

any safe soccer betting strategy to recommend ?

i'm not looking for tips but a mechanical strategy that can consistently make some profit............i know it's not gonna make me a millionaire.........

umm - safest bet is dont bet at all

N
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Old Jan 8, 2011, 2:38am   #4
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Re: Any Safe Soccer Betting Strategy ?

If you're risking hard-earned cash on a bet, at least back a team you can count on to score. Try and avoid encounters between mediocre teams who sit in the middle of the league table. Often these matches are most unpredictable: a home win, away win and draw are all feasible results.
An alternative is to look for powerful, high scoring teams that have no trouble finding the back of the net. These are often the elite clubs of a league: Bayern Munich, AC Milan, Barcelona etc. But this is what most amateur punters do, so the bookies will almost always offer poor odds on the best teams.
A better strategy is to bet against extremely weak teams. Every league has one or two hopeless sides who lose every weekend. These bottom-dwellers are sometimes given too much credit by the bookmakers. Look for a situation where a decent or even below average club is playing at home against a dreadfully bad away team (one of those clubs that's 0-1-9 on the road for example). The bookie will often set the odds on the home side slightly below even money, say at 1.75 when it should really be much lower, like 1.50. Similarly the Asian Handicap will be -3/4 ball when it should be at least -1. If you can identify the whipping boys of a league, this is exactly the sort of situation where it's profitable to bet against them.
Believe it or not, luck can play a role in this type of strategy. Talented teams make their own luck and find a way to win (how many times have we seen Juventus or Chelsea sneak a 90th minute goal and win 1-0?). On the flip side, weak teams are often unlucky and the bounces just seem to go against them.
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Old Jan 8, 2011, 8:30am   #5
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Re: Any Safe Soccer Betting Strategy ?

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a mechanical strategy that can consistently make some profit............
What like a perpetual money making machine where little or no effort is needed?

Aren't we all, innit.
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Old Jan 10, 2011, 12:57am   #6
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Re: Any Safe Soccer Betting Strategy ?

Quote:
Originally Posted by findcount View Post
Hellooooooooo brudderz.............

any safe soccer betting strategy to recommend ?

i'm not looking for tips but a mechanical strategy that can consistently make some profit............i know it's not gonna make me a millionaire.........
Aiight brap brap, nuf love.

Safe bredren init.
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Old Jan 10, 2011, 7:20am   #7
 
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Re: Any Safe Soccer Betting Strategy ?

I've never studied it myself but how about backing the team top of the league to win their next game. Most amateur gamblers will be backing the underdogs looking for the big pay-offs.

The odds for each game will be fairly poor but over the course of the season but if there are enough amateurs pushing up the pay-off for the favourite then the system will come out ahead.

A slight tweak would be maintain a league table of each team's last 5 results to bias the system towards the team with the best recent form.
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Old Jan 10, 2011, 11:18am   #8
 
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Re: Any Safe Soccer Betting Strategy ?

As you say, the odds will be fairly poor but that is for a reason. Over the course of a season, you'll probably break even. Take for instance Chelsea's performance this season so far - you've had made a few losses before a win yesterday with just 1.4(?) as an SP. So you'd have taken 5 100% losses or so if you'd backed Chelsea to win over the last 3 months and made back maybe 30%.

The market is pretty efficient apart from those times when something unexpected happens.
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Old Jan 10, 2011, 10:29pm   #9
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Re: Any Safe Soccer Betting Strategy ?

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Originally Posted by ZT Strategy View Post
I've never studied it myself but how about backing the team top of the league to win their next game. Most amateur gamblers will be backing the underdogs looking for the big pay-offs.

The odds for each game will be fairly poor but over the course of the season but if there are enough amateurs pushing up the pay-off for the favourite then the system will come out ahead.

A slight tweak would be maintain a league table of each team's last 5 results to bias the system towards the team with the best recent form.
My system uses a whole combination of data (recent goals, shots, performance against good/bad teams etc) to estimate probability of win, not just last 5 results. My experience is that this kind of strategy is really difficult to make work - the implied odds for English football games are scarily close to the reality when looking over a long period of time (wisdom of crowds) so even if you find an edge it will be really really small.

My advice is to stick to financial markets!
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Old Apr 12, 2011, 7:30am   #10
 
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Re: Any Safe Soccer Betting Strategy ?

hey , this site may help.......

www(dot)facebook(dot)com/pages/Picks4win/203455109674831
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Old Apr 15, 2011, 11:59am   #11
 
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Re: Any Safe Soccer Betting Strategy ?

Quote:
Originally Posted by findcount View Post
Hellooooooooo brudderz.............

any safe soccer betting strategy to recommend ?

i'm not looking for tips but a mechanical strategy that can consistently make some profit............i know it's not gonna make me a millionaire.........
Hi....tips from a professional soccerpunter...bet against e public...the more bad publicity it gets in e press or news e higher chance it will win. you will have better odds winfull loss less.

you need to be able to read e odds to a have a chance of survival.... not forgetting soccerbetting u have to pay juice to your bookie its a negative game.
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Old Apr 17, 2011, 10:11am   #12
 
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Re: Any Safe Soccer Betting Strategy ?

Probably the best method is laying UK favourite teams when playing away as long as the odds are under evens. That would have made you 12 points profit this year!
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Old Jun 14, 2011, 3:36pm   #13
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Re: Any Safe Soccer Betting Strategy ?

Quote:
Originally Posted by findcount View Post
Hellooooooooo brudderz.............

any safe soccer betting strategy to recommend ?

i'm not looking for tips but a mechanical strategy that can consistently make some profit............i know it's not gonna make me a millionaire.........
don't listen to all the -there is no!
the truth is that I have a nice strategy that makes money on the long run. and as You said it will not make you a millionare.
but right now I don't sell it. maybe someday and only if I will get a nice price for it.

cheers
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Old Aug 18, 2011, 10:23pm   #14
 
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Re: Any Safe Soccer Betting Strategy ?

The ‘safest’ or most efficient betting strategy I find looks at the amount of goals in a match rather than a specific result. If you are looking to back a team you need to know a lot more specific information right up to the team line-up. The amount of goals I believe can be predicted simply through statistics as teams will tend to play in a certain way, even with certain players missing.

I will consider a range of statistics when trading however a basic example would be if you want over 2.5 goals in a match. Look for matches where both teams will score and not just looking for one team to score the three or more goals. Both teams’ games need to average over 2.5 goals for the season. Then look at the recent form of the two teams in terms of goals scored and conceded and make your decision.

In terms of trading in play on this market, you have greater control because the markets always react at same level, relative to the initial price when the match kicks off, so you have several options when considering trading out.

This is how I normally trade in this market - http://dukesportstrading.blogspot.com/.

Last edited by theduke33; Aug 18, 2011 at 10:32pm.
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Old Jan 27, 2012, 2:45pm   #15
 
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Re: Any Safe Soccer Betting Strategy ?

The site has now moved to Duke Sports Trading – Free Sports Betting Tips
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