Any Safe Soccer Betting Strategy ?

This is a discussion on Any Safe Soccer Betting Strategy ? within the Fixed Odds & Binary Betting forums, part of the Markets category; Originally Posted by ZT Strategy I've never studied it myself but how about backing the team top of the league ...

Reply
 
LinkBack Thread Tools Search this Thread
Old Jan 10, 2011, 10:29pm   #9
Joined Sep 2008
Re: Any Safe Soccer Betting Strategy ?

Quote:
Originally Posted by ZT Strategy View Post
I've never studied it myself but how about backing the team top of the league to win their next game. Most amateur gamblers will be backing the underdogs looking for the big pay-offs.

The odds for each game will be fairly poor but over the course of the season but if there are enough amateurs pushing up the pay-off for the favourite then the system will come out ahead.

A slight tweak would be maintain a league table of each team's last 5 results to bias the system towards the team with the best recent form.
My system uses a whole combination of data (recent goals, shots, performance against good/bad teams etc) to estimate probability of win, not just last 5 results. My experience is that this kind of strategy is really difficult to make work - the implied odds for English football games are scarily close to the reality when looking over a long period of time (wisdom of crowds) so even if you find an edge it will be really really small.

My advice is to stick to financial markets!
__________________
"She generally gave herself very good advice, (though she very seldom followed it)."
adamscj is offline   Reply With Quote
Old Apr 12, 2011, 7:30am   #10
 
1 Posts
Joined Apr 2011
Re: Any Safe Soccer Betting Strategy ?

hey , this site may help.......

www(dot)facebook(dot)com/pages/Picks4win/203455109674831
soccerlover143 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old Apr 15, 2011, 11:59am   #11
 
happytrader8888's Avatar
 
7 Posts
Joined Apr 2011
Re: Any Safe Soccer Betting Strategy ?

Quote:
Originally Posted by findcount View Post
Hellooooooooo brudderz.............

any safe soccer betting strategy to recommend ?

i'm not looking for tips but a mechanical strategy that can consistently make some profit............i know it's not gonna make me a millionaire.........
Hi....tips from a professional soccerpunter...bet against e public...the more bad publicity it gets in e press or news e higher chance it will win. you will have better odds winfull loss less.

you need to be able to read e odds to a have a chance of survival.... not forgetting soccerbetting u have to pay juice to your bookie its a negative game.
happytrader8888 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old Apr 17, 2011, 10:11am   #12
 
1 Posts
Joined Apr 2011
Re: Any Safe Soccer Betting Strategy ?

Probably the best method is laying UK favourite teams when playing away as long as the odds are under evens. That would have made you 12 points profit this year!
__________________
Bonus Bagging - £200 - £12000 Bonus Bagging Challenge
cruki is offline Trading system vendor   Reply With Quote
Old Jun 14, 2011, 3:36pm   #13
Joined Jan 2011
Re: Any Safe Soccer Betting Strategy ?

Quote:
Originally Posted by findcount View Post
Hellooooooooo brudderz.............

any safe soccer betting strategy to recommend ?

i'm not looking for tips but a mechanical strategy that can consistently make some profit............i know it's not gonna make me a millionaire.........
don't listen to all the -there is no!
the truth is that I have a nice strategy that makes money on the long run. and as You said it will not make you a millionare.
but right now I don't sell it. maybe someday and only if I will get a nice price for it.

cheers
bollinger bands is offline   Reply With Quote
Old Aug 18, 2011, 10:23pm   #14
 
4 Posts
Joined Jun 2011
Re: Any Safe Soccer Betting Strategy ?

The ‘safest’ or most efficient betting strategy I find looks at the amount of goals in a match rather than a specific result. If you are looking to back a team you need to know a lot more specific information right up to the team line-up. The amount of goals I believe can be predicted simply through statistics as teams will tend to play in a certain way, even with certain players missing.

I will consider a range of statistics when trading however a basic example would be if you want over 2.5 goals in a match. Look for matches where both teams will score and not just looking for one team to score the three or more goals. Both teams’ games need to average over 2.5 goals for the season. Then look at the recent form of the two teams in terms of goals scored and conceded and make your decision.

In terms of trading in play on this market, you have greater control because the markets always react at same level, relative to the initial price when the match kicks off, so you have several options when considering trading out.

This is how I normally trade in this market - http://dukesportstrading.blogspot.com/.

Last edited by theduke33; Aug 18, 2011 at 10:32pm.
theduke33 is offline Commercial web site   Reply With Quote
Old Jan 27, 2012, 2:45pm   #15
 
4 Posts
Joined Jun 2011
Re: Any Safe Soccer Betting Strategy ?

The site has now moved to Duke Sports Trading – Free Sports Betting Tips
theduke33 is offline Commercial web site   Reply With Quote
Old Jan 31, 2012, 11:31am   #16
Joined Dec 2011
Re: Any Safe Soccer Betting Strategy ?

Quote:
Originally Posted by shadowninja View Post
The market is pretty efficient apart from those times when something unexpected happens.
What? lol
Is that like the same but different?
TobyDoyle is offline   Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search

Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
Spread Betting Winning Strategy!!! nico_po Spread Betting & CFDs 235 Apr 19, 2009 4:45pm
is this tricky trading strategy legal and acceptable in betting business in the UK? CFDplayer Spread Betting & CFDs 1 Sep 20, 2008 8:54pm
Help - spread betting - Strategy for growing 200pt profit Epsilon75 Indices 2 Jun 18, 2007 1:39pm

Currently Active Users Viewing This Thread: 1 (0 members and 1 guests)