Could the Weimar Hyperinflation Happen Again in America?

This is a discussion on Could the Weimar Hyperinflation Happen Again in America? within the Economic & Fundamental Analysis forums, part of the Methods category; for those who didnt read the pdf i posted here is irving fishers sequence for debt-deflation. 1. Debt liquidation and ...

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Old Jul 21, 2009, 10:55pm   #134
 
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for those who didnt read the pdf i posted here is irving fishers sequence for debt-deflation.

1. Debt liquidation and distress selling. - check
2. Contraction of the money supply as bank loans are paid off. - check
3. A fall in the level of asset prices. - check
4. A still greater fall in the net worth of businesses, precipitating bankruptcies. - check
5. A fall in profits. - check
6. A reduction in output, in trade and in employment. - check
7. Pessimism and loss of confidence. - check
8. Hoarding of money. - remains to be seen
9. A fall in nominal interest rates and a rise in deflation adjusted interest rates. - remains to be seen
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Old Jul 22, 2009, 7:57am   #135
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US consumer inflation 1665 - 2007
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hyper-1.gif  
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Old Jul 22, 2009, 8:51am   #136
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Interesting article on China.

FT.com / Asia-Pacific - China to deploy foreign reserves
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Old Jul 22, 2009, 10:48am   #137
 
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Originally Posted by chilltrader View Post
no matter what you want to call it... In short whats going to happen economically is this:

china is going to mount america from the rear and keep at it for a long time till americans cry out in pain... and thats just the beginning.
Why can't all economics lectures be as graphic as this?
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Old Jul 22, 2009, 10:56am   #138
 
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Originally Posted by poborsky View Post
US consumer inflation 1665 - 2007
Clearly it was all Nixon's fault ...

What is SGS Alternate CPI?
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Old Jul 22, 2009, 11:38am   #139
 
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Originally Posted by poborsky View Post
What we'll have here is a flood of dollars in the market as China attempts to get some value out of rapidly falling currency.

Balance of power will ultimately shift from the US to China. That is economic power.

This is effectively what Japan did with its collosal BoP surplus.

In fact this is a correct approach of what China should be doing to spend its surplus to get the global economy out of recession.

Good move imo. Watch out for further dollar falls though...
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Old Jul 22, 2009, 11:57am   #140
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What we'll have here is a flood of dollars in the market as China attempts to get some value out of rapidly falling currency.

Balance of power will ultimately shift from the US to China. That is economic power.

This is effectively what Japan did with its collosal BoP surplus.

In fact this is a correct approach of what China should be doing to spend its surplus to get the global economy out of recession.

Good move imo. Watch out for further dollar falls though...
Sounds like they've been planning this for a while.

Brazil sells oil to China, expects $10b loan

That's bordering on poetic.


Saw it months ago and wondered what they were cooking up.
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