From Impossible to Win to 100% a Week!

Mister7

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I used to think like many frustrated traders do, that the markets were impossible to win.
Why? Well there were many reasons, some justified, and some based on a lack of understanding. It sure seemed like a lot of the brokers were a little crooked, or a lot crooked in some cases, and It seemed like the market itself just did so many illogical and random things in general, and how in the hell is an average guy supposed to be able to have near enough capital to win at this game? Shorter time frames just ate me alive because the spread was such a significant percentage of the trades, and the longer trades were just to few and far between. Well I can finally say that there is an edge you can gain against all of that, it's simple and it relies only on only your ability see it. There are no fancy techs involved, although I have designed some things in MT4 that assist me, and I can manage this strategy in very few hours in a day, so it's possible to be something besides a computer slave. I think in the beginning of this desktop age and my early trading, I somewhat enjoyed that, but these days I think for many of us the initial allure of the whole computer world has faded and we would like to get back to real life a little more often. After all, we now do so many other things with computers, banking, shopping, travel, social networking etc. Add all of that up and it's just far too much screen time.

Anyway I want to start helping some people who were like me, not spoon feeding by any means but taking a look at what others are struggling with in their systems and approaches and if possible shedding some light from my perspective on how I may have gotten around it etc. if I experienced the same challenge several years ago etc.

I'm not sure that telling people exactly what I do would be beneficial, so I will hold off on that for the time being, as I think it's best revealed in the context of real time dialog and example. It's also dynamic in nature, since the market themselves are dynamic, so it's difficult if not impossible to program, but fairly easy for the human eye to adjust to. Since the markets are controlled by the human mind, it takes the human mind to edge it out. I don't believe in robots etc. they just can't react to the psychology properly. If the markets were run by robots or AI then AI could find the edge, probably so well it would cause them to cease to exist. I think we all wish the markets did work on some scientific basis of logic, however, most TI's will reveal that this just isn't so most of the time, and in fact is a vulnerability to those who believe that they do. I think they leave you in the middle of town waiting to be sniped myself.

Nothing to sell here either so don't misinterpret my intent as commercial in nature. I will call some trades here and there when I have time to do so with some explanation, and maybe even set up some live chat at various times if anyone wants to use the strength of numbers to their advantage.

I'm new on here, and I'm guilty of reading forums and never contributing so I just think it would be cool to set up a little strategy assistance community, not too many people, but people who are either frustrated or have got their skill level to where I used to be for a long time, which is gaining and losing too much without forward progress. Getting a hold of the steady equity increase is what this is all about. Even more important than that though is the genuine interest in the art itself. One of the biggest secrets to success in any pursuit, is the love of the pursuit itself. In other words trade for the sake of trading, not just financial motivation, and especially not desperation.

I found myself many times 7 or 8 years ago just completely irritated and had to put it down for a while, and maybe that was part of the process in some ways, but once you know that anything can happen and you have prepared for that with every move you make, it all changes. The real damage is done by believing you have control in some way over what the market does. Many of you may know some of these things already from your own experience as well, so don't hesitate to join in if you have something positive to add.

Good luck everyone,... scratch that, Good trading! Luck is one of the enemies, one of many mystical beliefs that lead to psychological failure!
 
Yen Update

Took 6 Pip Profit on Yen as it seemed to be losing momentum.
 
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Wow!

What a bunch of rude people so far. Anyway the yen trade was closed for profit because I thought it was a little weak , had I left it open I could have taken 50 or so. My strategy is longer term, not scalping by any means.

I am curretly up 70 some pips on my EUR/USD short, my account gain for the week is around 35%.

After researching TRO, I don't believe in short term scalp strategies because they take too much computer time for me. It also appears that he is an IB (commercial interest) that uses self imposed S & R that is in a state of constant flux. This is nothing at all like my apporach to trading.

As far as posting on other forums, I figured only a few would read this at any one, so I don't see what the problem is there? This is not a commercial post, so what's the difference. I was simply trying to network and be helpful if I can. If any one has anything positive or informative to offer please chime in, but otherwise why the negativity?
 
Also...

I want to clarify that this thread did not mean 100% winning trades, it means 100% average gains on the account equity. As far as personal attacks on my intelligence, I can see that there is an infantile element in this forum, and for that I am disappointed. Or is there another motivation for veteran members attacking someone newly posting to the forum?

In profit around 90 pips on my London short for the Euro through New York Overlap

tradeg.gif
 
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Mister7,
Unfortunately a lot of new posters do make post like yours with an ulterior motive.
I do not see any commercial bias in any of your posts.
I am sure over time, you will make valuable comments on this site and will become a well respected member.
Also don't pay any attention to the tag "veteran or "Legendary" its not worth the paper its written on,
If the tag were applied to quality of posts there would only be 1 or 3 members with the tag.
Welcome and good luck with your endeavors.
 
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Mister7,
Unfortunately a lot of new posters do make post like yours with an ulterior motive.
I do not see any commercial bias in any of your posts.
I am sure over time, you will make valuable comments on this site and will become a well respected member.
Also don't pay any attention to the tag "veteran or "Legendary" its not worth the paper its written on,
If the tag were applied to quality of posts there would only be 1 or 3 members with the tag.
Welcome and good luck with your endeavors.

Thanks Gamma, I knew there had to be someone Sane on here.

I just closed my Euro Short for 97 pips profit.
 
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Can you say where you entered and where you exited as I am unable to see on the chart you posted ?


Paul
 
Nothing to do with sanity. It's to do with getting fed up with scam artists coming on T2W to drum up business.
 
Nothing to sell here either so don't misinterpret my intent as commercial in nature.

Guys!Guys!give the chap a chance look at what he said above.
if he has a ulterior motive (which I doubt) he will soon be found out and dismissed.
If you were to look at Trader Dante's first few posts and were he given the same treatment we would have lost a great member probably.
I am sure Mister7 has enough respect for us not to treat us as fools who would fall for a silly scam,
lets accord him the same respect.
 
Can you say where you entered and where you exited as I am unable to see on the chart you posted ?


Paul


Sure Paul Trade on Eur/USD was short at 1.33467 and I exited at 1.32506 for what was actually 96.1 profit ( I closed it at 97 pips but price slipped slightly as the trade processed) These pics are always hard to see if you don't zoom in for capture but that defeats the purpose of showing the time and price. I will set up something easier to see as I go.
 
Relax Ninja

Nothing to do with sanity. It's to do with getting fed up with scam artists coming on T2W to drum up business.

I am in no way drumming up business, why the hostility toward a stranger? I could see if I was selling some book or, or trying to charge for a system in some way, but to jump someone who has only posted a few times as some commercial fraud is a bit hasty. Hopefully we can move on from this in a positive light. I am not selling anything. Just trying to have some fun networking and offer what I have learned as well as learn from the frustrations that might be experienced by others and if possible offer a solution or alternative viewpoint.

I dislike that kind of gorilla marketing as much as anyone, so I can see why you feel the way you do, but please direct anger at someone with more premise than simply closing a position trade early for six pips. It's part of any good strategy to close for a small profit or minimal loss when your reason for entering is no longer apparent.

For the record that early close was a mistake on my part, as I could have easily pulled an additional 50 or so pips. I am by no means claiming to never lose or make the wrong decision, I am merely not letting them effect me in a negative way when adhering to the profitable equity curve I seek.
 
EUR/USD Long this morning

I forgot to post on this forum but I have been long EUR/USD since roughly 10 new York this morning. I have been up 30 or so pips at one point but I am holding out for a retracement into either the .382 or slightly above the .500 Fibs in the former resistance area around 1.3375. Much of this trade target will depend upon on momentum into the London market.
 
Why Long?

Why Long?

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First and Foremost remember this, you can never control or predict the market, you can merely let it tell you what it's doing, that being said we look for probability based on repeating patterns, Two big ones for me Fibs and waves, Elliot etc. I look for big moves to come to an end, how do I know for sure? Price tells me by making higher highs or lower lows respective to the move, the first one is a change in direction the second one is a confirmation, entry can take place there with the stop at the newly defined high or low of the market, the target would depend on the time of day and a fib retracement level accordingly.

Here is my chart, as I post this it is on the move, why is it on the move now?
Because traders are entering the market in anticipation of London. This trade is far from over but I will adjust my stop to compensate as I make gains by trailing two minor lows back.

The large move down was a five count Elliot, with a corrective a b c pattern, I bring this up not because it was my initial reason for entering (based more on Fib actually) but because the Elliot c wave should retrace to the fourth wave area, which in this case happens to be a fib line. It's the ability to see the synchroncity that can lead to a successful trade. There will always be the one that doesn't work, but we are dealing with probability versus mathematical fallacy.

I would also suggest being careful with trend lines, they are not necessary to see the highs or lows if you get used to using charts as a line as opposed to bars or candles. But drawing a line is merely a line, price will not respect that line just because we draw it, it will still respect the highs or lows (True S & R) far more often than a diagonal line we place on the chart. Price moves in surges of buyers and sellers, these waves can be clearly seen, let them talk to you in a way you understand, this takes time, but when you start to listen to what they say, you will know what to risk and what to target.

Another big secret is what I refer to as weight in the market, moves or waves tend to have opposing reactions equal to or greater than the cause in many cases. I sometime project that weight into the future as aid in target selection as well.

http://img23.imageshack.us/img23/5222/sp3220090408235834.gif
 
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