InTheMoneyStocks Market Analysis

This is a discussion on InTheMoneyStocks Market Analysis within the Daily Analysis forums, part of the Commercial category; Originally Posted by Black Swan Financial Darwinism at its finest, can't get a decent return on investments? may as well ...

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Old Jul 26, 2009, 10:55am   #31
 
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Originally Posted by Black Swan View Post
Financial Darwinism at its finest, can't get a decent return on investments? may as well play the markets...The middle classes/baby boomers are being asset stripped like they wouldn't believe...gonna hurt like fook and the moaning will be deafening
I think you're right... and then everyone will be calling for more regulation which essentially protects the idiots from themselves.
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Old Jul 26, 2009, 12:00pm   #32
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I think you're right... and then everyone will be calling for more regulation which essentially protects the idiots from themselves.
Interesting how the UK meeja have 'gone off on one' this weekend re. bank lending being as (if not more) expensive with base rate at 0.5% as it was when rates were 3%. Also complaints and phony anger from Darling re. banks not lending to small businesses; who apparently need overdarfts to survive and or prosper. If they're on respirator let them die, sad, but heh...

Firstly, not withstanding the estimated £1trillion fresh cash/digits they have had (or will be getting) in order to repair their solvency issues, banks need to hoover up as much liquidity (out of everyone's pockets) as they can from the economy hence SVRs and CC rates will continue to rise. Banks want your/their/the state's money back in whatever ruse they can conjure up.

They are not interested in lernding and Darling knows and approves of this, Gordo's masters have told him the system must be saved at the expense of taxing two future generations; suggestion from a think tank last week was that an extra 9p in the pound has to be raised to balance the books over the next decade.

What is the point of banks lending (en masse) to fluffy businesses that will fail, or offering up jumbo mortgages when house prices will continue to fall? They know (as do the govt) that the only canary in the mine is unemployment. Until millions of new purposeful jobs are created as opposed to destroyed there is no recovery in sight and asset destruction (both businesses and personal) will be decimated. We're not even at the start of the start of the misery of unemployment, perhaps the elite can arrange another unecessary 14-18 war to 'get rid' of the 750,000 unemployed youths currently with little hope of getting a decent wage or prospects...

The only companies that will be saved, (through leaning on banks by Mandy & Co), will be those with high levels of employment in Nu Lab heartlands, or those such as BA which are allowed to raid pension schemes in order to continue to fund their day to day huge losses. Decisions on Vauxhall etc they'd prefer to kick into the long grass/keep playing keepy uppy until after next May's election, but BA failing cannot be allowed..
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Old Jul 26, 2009, 12:55pm   #33
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Article on the state of UK finances.

Huge gilts row barely registers as the UK sleepwalks into stagnation - Telegraph
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Old Jul 27, 2009, 3:33pm   #34
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Important Intra Day Reversal On The SPY (Market). Could This Be More? Supports Noted

InTheMoneyStocks started this thread The market started slightly on the weaker side as earnings this morning were not great. In addition, as noted by chief market strategists, revenue continues to miss while earnings may beat. This tells us it is just cost cutting that is going on and not actually growth in sales. That is scary within 1 or 2 quarters as earnings may start to lag big time. At 10am ET, new homes sales came out up 11%. Monster number! However, the markets jumped initially, then fall hard and reversed. This may be a major reversal in progress. Be warned. Note the chart below shows the reversal. Each moving average and green trend line should be some intra day support. Stay tuned for further updates.

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Old Jul 27, 2009, 3:35pm   #35
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Important Intra Day Reversal On The SPY (Market). Could This Be More? Supports Noted

InTheMoneyStocks started this thread The market started slightly on the weaker side as earnings this morning were not great. In addition, as noted by chief market strategists, revenue continues to miss while earnings may beat. This tells us it is just cost cutting that is going on and not actually growth in sales. That is scary within 1 or 2 quarters as earnings may start to lag big time. At 10am ET, new homes sales came out up 11%. Monster number! However, the markets jumped initially, then fall hard and reversed. This may be a major reversal in progress. Be warned. Note the chart below shows the reversal. Each moving average and green trend line should be some intra day support. Stay tuned for further updates.
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Source: InTheMoneyStocks Rant and Rave
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Old Jul 29, 2009, 4:34pm   #36
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The Markets Continue To Astound And Blow The Mind

InTheMoneyStocks started this thread The markets have seen some ugly news over the last few days. Today was no different. Durable goods orders were not pretty but the real kicker was crude inventories. Crude oil got punished on inventory numbers sending XOM (Exxon Mobil) into a tail-spin to the downside. In addition, GS (Goldman Sachs) was smacked hard trading down over $3 at its lows. All major components of the market looked to be getting hacked hard, but the markets were barely negative. In addition, China got crushed for a 5% drop on the Shanghai Index off InTheMoneyStocks.com's pivot call...but again, the markets are barely negative. What is going on? Makes this trader truly question the validity of our markets and whether or not there is an external force keeping things afloat on purpose. Could it be? This has happened many days in a row, the major stocks in the indexes get crushed and the markets barely drop. This trader continues to scalp the market but is starting to question whether or not we are in true market any longer. Could other forces be at work here? If so, this market can only be propped higher for so long until it all collapses. The more propping, the harder the fall. Stay tuned and join the Research Center to get premium education, guidance and picks. For reference, just today, the call went out for a bounce on the dollar, a drop on crude oil and a major pivot turn in China. 3 for 3, home runs! Enjoy

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Old Jul 31, 2009, 3:02am   #37
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Great article thanks!
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Old Jul 31, 2009, 5:23am   #38
 
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blithering idiots
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Old Jul 31, 2009, 8:17am   #39
 
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Is there a cycle value for the repeating of vacuous nonsense?

Or is this slow-burn spam, since the same post has been cut and pasted twice?

Mods: I suggest this thread is merged with the exact same one started a few days ago.
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Thanks! The following members like this post: tenbobtrader
Old Jul 31, 2009, 8:49am   #40
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There's certainly a cycle that makes my missus grumpy 7 days out of 28.

Does it effect my trading ? Hell yes.
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Old Aug 5, 2009, 4:29pm   #41
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The Numbers Do Lie – Corporate America Trying To Pull The Wool Over Your Eyes

InTheMoneyStocks started this thread As earnings season is now in full swing, I cannot help but analyze the earnings results from countless companies. So far the markets have rallied 10% in just the last two weeks. Most earnings have blown through estimates. It has been a meteoric rise, the markets blasting up through the double top from mid June. Things seem to be rosy once more on Wall Street. Talk of a recovery, V-bottom and the next monster bull market are now spewing from the media.

Be afraid. Main Street is having a major disconnect from Wall Street. Along with Wall Street, our government, Federal Reserve and the media are too blame. The wool is been pulled over your eyes!

While the markets continue to soar, I sit back and shutter. Why you ask? Because for those of us that really analyze the numbers, it is a very scary thing to behold. For the common investor, they will simply look at the earnings per share and do their P/E calculations. This tells them whether or not a stock is cheap relative to the S&P historic multiples. If it were only that simple these days.... Accounting changes for financial firms have given them the ability to knock the earnings out of the park. Recently, JP Morgan Chase (JPM) and Goldman Sachs (GS) both blew away estimates. However, does anyone really wonder what the accounting changes actually did to these numbers? Why AIG was saved? Or look at the credit card defaults and risk these companies face going forward? Or better yet, does anyone note the new risks companies like Goldman Sachs are now undertaking in order to turn such big profits? I continue to shutter. The next disaster may be in the works.

While the financial companies are in a league of their own when it comes to earnings, I am here to discuss the earnings of other companies, non financial firms.

What has me so scared for the next two years? While most companies are blowing out earnings per share (EPS) numbers, they are missing on revenue. So how are they able to beat on earnings but then miss on revenue? Simple. Cutting costs. Now think about this. How are they cutting costs? Obviously, as the unemployment numbers tell us, they are cutting jobs. In addition, they are cutting out projects that were not profitable, buying less inventory, trimming the fat in other words. While this is a smart thing to do to make these companies more efficient, in an economy that has unemployment spinning out of control, it may not be the best scenario. Each person that is laid off spends less money. With less money spent by that one person, the trickle down effect is drastic. Imagine how each person with a job spends a certain amount, each place they spend, someone else must work and is paid. They spend, others need jobs and the cycle continues. So imagine the effect of just one layoff.

In addition, cutting costs can only go so far. Think of it as a company on steroids in the near term. Yes, they look very strong but wait until certain things start to shrivel or the steroid supply ceases. This is right around the corner, once cost cutting can go no further. Eventually, there is nothing left to cut. So while earnings are blowing away estimates, the real key is to watch the revenue numbers. Within a quarter or two, earnings will start to lag as revenue continues to decline and there are no more costs to cut.

In many ways it is a double edged sword. Near term, the earnings are blowing out expectations, but as a result of the cost cutting, unemployment is spiking higher. This will cause the recession to last much longer. As I have pointed out, cutting costs to boost earnings is not showing the true nature of a company.

To give proof of this you only have to look at the earnings over the past couple weeks. Pick out any handful of companies that reported earnings. Most have blasted through earnings yet revenue was in line or missed.

Let's start with EI DuPont de Nemours & Co. (Symbol: DD). Analysts had projected that they would make $.53 on $7.10 billion in revenue. The stock reported earnings excluding items of $0.61 which beat estimates. However, revenue came in light at $7.09 billion.

Next, let's take a look at Coca Cola (Symbol: KO). Analysts estimated they would make $1.00 per share while raking in $10.95 billion in revenue. The company reported earnings per share at $1.02, beating by $.02 but revenue missed, coming in at $10.59 billion.

Last, take a look at Chipotle Mexican Grill (Symbol: CMG). Analyst expected earnings of $.88 per share on revenue of $391.2 million. When the company reported, they blew the earnings out of the water at $1.10 per share. However, revenue again came in light at $388.8 million.

These are just a few of the many earnings beats but revenue misses. As of now the market has swept the revenue misses under the rug. A rally on hope and ignorance continues. It will only last so long. The average investor has no clue as the media is pumping the recovery and the great earnings results. The cost cutting can only last another quarter or two and it will level off. After that, earnings could see a massive plunge. Contrary to many, I see no recovery starting yet. As long as the unemployment rate climbs, people will hold back from spending, not buy houses and continue to struggle to pay their bills.

Unfortunately, earnings numbers do lie and the wool is being successfully pulled over the average investors eyes. They have bought in, hook, line and sinker, putting their hard earned money at what could be a major top.


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Old Aug 5, 2009, 4:34pm   #42
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When The Market Give You Lemons, MAKE MONEY!

InTheMoneyStocks started this thread This market has been plagued with interesting factors creating an even more difficult trading environment; buy programs, sell programs, mass manipulation. All this emphasizes the importance of becoming privy to the factors that move this market under any circumstance.

Today's end of day price performance displayed one of the many scenarios that time after time, catch the amateur trader on the wrong side of the market - fake out moves.

Confirmation is constituted with a close below the trend line, then the next candle needs to close below the low of the previous candle - creating a true breakdown. Without this secondary confirmation, the next or current candle can easily float back higher, (faking out the amateurs) thus decreasing the probability, as it did in today's example. This is the main reason why it is vital to understand the need for confirmation on patterns, trend lines, nearly any trade prior to entering. Most obvious or well known plays (whole numbers, trend lines, patterns) are designed to get the amateurs on-board thinking a move has been confirmed then turning against them.

Note the channel trend line below in the chart. The only way sell volume would have come into this market to negate the buy program would have been if that lower line was broken and confirmed. However, it was not broken only pierced, and a massive buy program hit again. This happened yesterday as well and probably 95 of the last 100 trading days. As the manipulation continues, you must refine and advance your trading skills. By learning the proper tools needed you will enable yourself to make endless amounts of money from the lemons the market provides!

Begin to enlighten yourself NOW!


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Old Aug 5, 2009, 4:34pm   #43
 
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The optimistic view in CNBC is always going to hide the truth.Especially that Kudlow " Republican" unofficial spokeperson.What is also pathetic is the way they under report or fail to report the American companies that open in Communist China under the cheap labor pretense.The Chinese keep cheating their way to progress by keeping their currency undervalued and subsidizing their export Industry and other International Trade Violations while the US Politicians and News Media keep silence or give poor lip service to these issues.How the Fed and Congress has allowed the Chinese to hold such a large percentage of US Treasuries is unacceptable. The Communist Chinese has the US by their balls.
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Old Aug 11, 2009, 4:25pm   #44
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Markets Drop Big Off Fridays InTheMoneyStocks.com Pivot High Call

InTheMoneyStocks started this thread $2.35 profit so far...That is the amount the SPY has dropped from the InTheMoneyStocks.com turn pivot called last Friday. Friday, the markets hit their high with the SPY touching $102.03. Since then, the markets have collapsed back lower hitting a daily low of $99.69. Cycle work was used here to call the pivot high. This pivot was given to our premium subscribers in the Research Center and Intra Day Stock Chat. Other major calls from the last week were the dollars bounce, nailed to the penny, the oil drop, oil down $2 from the call and the gold fall, down close to $30.

The market continues to trade on the weak side today. Support continues to be $99.75-$99.80. Should that break, the intra day support would be $99.50. To get the daily major levels, join the Research Center or Intra Day Chat Room.

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Old Aug 12, 2009, 8:46pm   #45
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How InTheMoneyStocks Knew The Markets Would See New Highs And Called It Perfectly

InTheMoneyStocks started this thread Per the analysis on the blog post earlier this afternoon as the market was tanking off the highs, Chief Market Strategists were alerted this market could see the highs and possibly new highs on the day. This is how: The 10 minute chart was coming into a major level of support. Not only was the 200ma being hit but also the 50ma. This area on the 10 minute chart was a huge level and should be major support. In addition, the 60 minute chart had a major necktie support level at the 20ma and the 50ma. This was also huge in itself. However, combine both chart time frames and you have the Great Wall Of China support level. This alerted the Chief Market Strategists and they alerted the Intra Day Stock Chat guys to not short the market but instead look for a possible pop off that level. Sure enough, a monster rally shown in the two charts below took place. This most likely was a comination of amateur shorts jumping on and not knowing the levels Chief Market Strategists at InTheMoneyStocks.com had seen and getting squeezed out, forced to cover.

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