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Pivot Points in Forex

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by Raul Lopez -  Dec 11, 2006
6.9 (from 15 ratings)

We calculate the pivot point as showed before. But our support and resistance levels are drawn in a different way. We take the previous session high and low, and draw those levels on today’s chart. The same is done with the session before the previous session. So, we will have our PP and four more important levels drawn in our chart.
 
LOPS1, low of the previous session.
HOPS1, high of the previous session.
LOPS2, low of the session before the previous session.
HOPS2, high of the session before the previous session.
PP, pivot point.
 
These levels will tell us the strength of the market at any given moment. If the market is trading above the PP, then the market is considered in a possible uptrend. If the market is trading above HOPS1 or HOPS2, then the market is in an uptrend, and we only take long positions. If the market is trading below the PP then the market is considered in a possible downtrend. If the market is trading below LOPS1 or LOPS2, then the market is in a downtrend, and we should only consider short trades.
 
The psychology behind this approach is simple. We know that for some reason the market stopped there from going higher/lower the previous session, or the session before that. We don’t know the reason, and we don’t need to know it. We only know the fact: the market reversed at that level. We also know that traders and investors have memories, they do remember that the price stopped there before, and the odds are that the market reverses from there again (maybe because the same reason, and maybe not) or at least find some support or resistance at these levels.
 
What is important about his approach is that support and resistance levels are measured objectively; they aren’t just a level derived from a mathematical formula, the price reversed there before so these levels have a higher probability of being effective.
 


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Comment on this Article

Recent Comments:
Quote: Originally Posted by forexproject This is so subjective, I don't know if the author could even answer these questions. Use your best judgment from your own observations. There is a pretty good study over at Tradesight about this stuff. They did a lot of research on the various times of day to use as end of day.
barn_burner   17-12-2006 22:55:59
This is so subjective, I don't know if the author could even answer these questions. Use your best judgment from your own observations.
forexproject   15-12-2006 10:30:13
Quote: Originally Posted by fxchant Actually, the difference between 5 pm EST and 6 pm EST would be minor because most world markets are closed at that point, which is why it is the key cut-off time for calculations. However, most of the non-dealing-desk platforms that actually have to pick a time to clear trades choose 5 pm, which is presumably the logical time then for end of day calculations. I think they picked that because it is...
Trdr   14-12-2006 12:18:30
Quote: Originally Posted by Trdr Believe the 'cut-off time' — ie end/start of the new trading day is 6pm EST. I don't use PPs however some traders setup pivots based on the particular currency and that currency's country specific 'opening' time. Actually, the difference between 5 pm EST and 6 pm EST would be minor because most world markets are closed at that point, which is why it is the key cut-off time for...
fxchant   14-12-2006 03:03:20
Believe the 'cut-off time' — ie end/start of the new trading day is 6pm EST. I don't use PPs however some traders setup pivots based on the particular currency and that currency's country specific 'opening' time.
Trdr   12-12-2006 23:23:21

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