Delta Phenomenon

This is a discussion on Delta Phenomenon within the Trading Delta Cycles forums, part of the Specialists' Corner category; Hi trendie and cmellon, GBP/USD counts are difficult atm, the market is ranging and I tend to trade the range ...

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Old Jul 14, 2009, 8:46am   #61
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Hi trendie and cmellon,
GBP/USD counts are difficult atm, the market is ranging and I tend to trade the range with momentum.
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Old Jul 16, 2009, 3:50am   #62
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USD YEN Delta

ITD 11 high has either been reached or nearly reached.
Once top (ITD 11) is reached, the low of 91.7 should be taken out on the way to ITD 1 low (and also MTD 7 low).
Attached Thumbnails
usd-jpy-mtd-july-16.gif  
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Old Jul 21, 2009, 4:59pm   #63
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GBP USD Delta

ITD rotation seems to be getting clearer now and I am quite comfortable with the ITD rotation per the attached chart. However, ITD 5 high has not been confirmed yet without a daily close below 1.6317, so we may still get rally higher. MTD and LTD rotation are still not clear since MTD is still in inversion time zone.

Regardless of the MTD and LTD rotation, if ITD 5 high is already IN at 1.65556, then Intermedate Term direction is DOWN to ITD 6 low due around July 31. The price level of ITD 6 low (whether above or below 1.5982) around July 31 would later further clarifies the MTD and hopefully LTD rotation.
Attached Thumbnails
gbp-usd-delta-itd-july-21.gif  
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Last edited by cmellon; Jul 21, 2009 at 5:30pm.
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Old Jul 21, 2009, 5:00pm   #64
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USD YEN Delta

I am currently putting ITD 11 high as already IN due to the daily close below the low of signal day at 94.12.

Intermediate Term direction is DOWN, Medium Term direction is DOWN. Target is below 91.7, and target time is around August 6.
Attached Thumbnails
usd-yen-delta-itd-july-21.gif  
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Old Jul 23, 2009, 2:27pm   #65
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(Good retest of ITD5 today, we shall see what the end of the day shall bring.)
Itd 5 is likely to arrive on time today, I have bracketed the erlier post, as this morning I thought that ITD 5 might have arrived ealier. Not so and the PA has prooved it well. I shall be looking for the ITD5 to get well established from where I shall short. Lower TF also confirm the signs of a reversal. The next Low might be also LTD16.
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cable-itd-mtd-23-07-09.gif  

Last edited by 2be; Jul 23, 2009 at 5:12pm. Reason: new content added
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Old Jul 30, 2009, 12:43pm   #66
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Cable Delta

It's a little bit premature to post these charts, but if we can get a daily candle close above 1.647 today, there's a good chance that ITD 6 low has already IN at 1.634 yesterday. Attached is Delta Chart and Elliot Wave chart (credit EW count to Jamie Saettle from DailyFX).
Attached Thumbnails
gbp-usd-itd-july-30.gif   gbp-usd-ew-july-30.gif  
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Old Aug 1, 2009, 12:47pm   #67
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cmellon View Post
It's a little bit premature to post these charts, but if we can get a daily candle close above 1.647 today, there's a good chance that ITD 6 low has already IN at 1.634 yesterday. Attached is Delta Chart and Elliot Wave chart (credit EW count to Jamie Saettle from DailyFX).
Friday close confirms the ITD6 is in place, my count is similar to yours. I had retrospectively placed LTD16 arriving early, as the time for it has run out. I am not extatic looking at the count, but that has to do for the time being. I have to aknowlage some major difficulties with counts within the last year, as the market has changed somehow reflecting the current nervousness, hopes. falls hopes and so on.
Because G/U is so closely correlated to equities I have severe doubts regarding the "recovery" and these doubts projected into trading this pair makes me suspicious of the GBP srtength against the USD, so I trade looking at momentum and S/R into account. On this account I day trade with not longer having mid term positions held over several days, it has become too risky. Cable seems to be breaking the range, so some larger moves should be in place.
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Old Aug 13, 2009, 7:10pm   #68
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In order for this count to be valid,the important level not to be taken out is 1630 . Different platforms have slightly different reading of this ITD6 Low. If ITD8 does not go below this 1.6337 L a structure of HLs will be firmly in place, and the move up should conclude with ITD9 also being MTD3. In OCTOBER 2009 we shall expect MTD5/LTD17 top, and who knows what October this year might bring!
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Old Aug 17, 2009, 9:51am   #69
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 2be View Post
In order for this count to be valid,the important level not to be taken out is 1630 . Different platforms have slightly different reading of this ITD6 Low. If ITD8 does not go below this 1.6337 L a structure of HLs will be firmly in place, and the move up should conclude with ITD9 also being MTD3. In OCTOBER 2009 we shall expect MTD5/LTD17 top, and who knows what October this year might bring!
My last count has to be ammended as the 1.6330 Low has been taken out,which makes MTD3 has arrived at the last H, and there is more time for the ITD8 to arrive. I shall post the chart after the closing of today's session. I am looking to sell on pulbacks for the time being.
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Old Aug 19, 2009, 10:24am   #70
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MTD4 shall arrive with either ITD8 around 24th August or ITD10 around 8th Sept 8th Sept
MTD 4 shall be below MTD2, for this count to be valid.
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Old Aug 20, 2009, 12:51pm   #71
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MTD4 shall arrive with either ITD8 around 24th August or ITD10 around 8th Sept 8th Sept
MTD 4 shall be below MTD2, for this count to be valid.
I have made a mistake, MTD 4 shall not be below MTD2
The reason for it is to preserve the HH. and HL of the MTD count in relation to thr LTD17 and SLTD3.
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Old Aug 21, 2009, 3:14pm   #72
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Oh my... the market is very frustrating indeed.
ITD 8 low may have arrived at 1.6274 and this is also MTD 4 low?

LTD 17 here we come due on October at 1.75?
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Old Aug 21, 2009, 3:20pm   #73
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I admire your perseverance to the Delta creed of cycles that gravitate from a fixed, unchanging point in time, in the face of overwhelming evidence that although cyclic, stuff happens which permanently and irrevocably perturbs the cycle thus yielding a cycle start point at a random point in the cycle from a place in time that will not necessarily have had any previous significance within the Delta scheme of things.

Haven’t you ever wanted to laterally shift your Delta grids left of right a bit so they ‘make more sense’? There’s absolutely no reason to imagine they will or do replicate precisely through time.
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Old Aug 21, 2009, 4:13pm   #74
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I admire your perseverance to the Delta creed of cycles that gravitate from a fixed, unchanging point in time, in the face of overwhelming evidence that although cyclic, stuff happens which permanently and irrevocably perturbs the cycle thus yielding a cycle start point at a random point in the cycle from a place in time that will not necessarily have had any previous significance within the Delta scheme of things.

Haven’t you ever wanted to laterally shift your Delta grids left of right a bit so they ‘make more sense’? There’s absolutely no reason to imagine they will or do replicate precisely through time.
Hi TheBramble,

Good comments. No system is perfect, that is true
I do however like the system regardless. In my experience, the cycle does work. It's not really as random as people might think.

At least in my experience, I don't normally shift Delta grids. The Delta pointer you see in Dynamic Trader software is the result of calculating the average of Delta point after solving Delta solution using 32 years of historical data. I have the spreadsheet for the calculation of GBP JPY Matrix solution if anyone is interested.

In other news, can someone tell me what's going on with the market today, LOL.
The big boys try to confuse everyone, and then reverse at the end of the day, nice.
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Old Aug 21, 2009, 4:32pm   #75
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I have the spreadsheet for the calculation of GBP JPY Matrix solution if anyone is interested
Are you trading on this data? Is it making you money?
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