Re: learning to read price action with p/f charts 
In my previous chart you saw that it ended being in an uptrend. Now some time later I made another screenshot of the same chart, no trend lines have been changed, only added.
What do we see on this new chart:
At the green arrow we see a triple top sell signal at exactly the point of the drawn trend line. If we say that the line is drawn at the right place then this means a change in trend, putting it into a down trend from now on. And this is a very important happening by the book in the PnF world! Except that the trend line isn't in an angle of 45%. Because of this happening we draw a falling trend line from the last top. We are SHORT now.
What we see then is a retracement after 2 more up columns that shows a triple top buy signal. Also at the place where we have drawn a trend line. So we go LONG now. And we draw a trend line from the last bottom...
Or we say that the last blue increasing trend line was not drawn at the right place???
So what shall it be...?
I say it wasn't drawn at the right place, so I draw the orange trend line. If this is the case then the last two positions shouldn't been taken! We should be long since the blue arrow pointed at the 5 top breakout!
Then at the black arrow we see another possible sell signal...
At first we see that there is some resistance around the orange line, but finally it got broken, checked again and then it seems to go down. So we can draw a falling trend line above the last top. Question will be how steep shoot it be?
And the biggest question is, where should we have closed the uptrend? And when should we take another short position?
I hope I started a nice discussion, and I am very curious what you guys would have done in these cases? What trends would you have taken? Where would your stops be? And why would you have done it?
Cheers,
Emotion |