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Forum: Commodities Jan 28, 2011, 6:30pm
Replies: 26
Views: 1,500
Posted By TWI
Re: Finally time to exit gold

Rates will begin to rise and money will find other homes that have had no attraction until now. I do not believe gold is an alternative to fiat currency, although I once did. Supply demand has been...
Forum: Commodities Jan 27, 2011, 4:39pm
Replies: 26
Views: 1,500
Posted By TWI
Finally time to exit gold

After being long gold in increasing volumes since 2001, the year Enron went down, I fully exited my position 2 weeks ago.
Some old timers on here will remember my posts from years past regarding...
Forum: The Foyer May 2, 2010, 2:20pm
Replies: 41
Views: 2,138
Posted By TWI
Re: Hawkins the idiot

Probably the single most important factor is what the aliens eat for breakfast.
We better hope either Hawking is right about his black holes or that the young guy is correct that they never occur...
Forum: The Foyer May 2, 2010, 2:15pm
Replies: 41
Views: 2,138
Posted By TWI
Re: Hawkins the idiot

This formula is b*ll*cks. A mirror does not reverse anything it just shows what is on the left is on the left and what is on the right is on the right. It is all about the relative point of the...
Forum: Commodities May 2, 2010, 9:23am
Replies: 1
Views: 612
Posted By TWI
Re: The Energies Pit Review - For the week of April 26th, 2010

Agree. The spec long is very large, last COT shows 208k net F&O long (WTI) and more money coming in on dips. If you look at a weekly chart, $85 was some hurdle and the last two weeks we have rejected...
Forum: General Trading Chat May 1, 2010, 2:36pm
Replies: 333
Views: 8,448
Posted By TWI
Re: The final Holy Grail!

Sorry, I have not been onto this forum in a long time and so just popped in and decided to reply when I saw the same old b/s still being posted. Fine, if this is a journal then i will let other...
Forum: Trading Journals Apr 30, 2010, 4:28am
Replies: 651
Views: 45,041
Posted By TWI
Re: The final Holy Grail!

Face it, anybody who finds and trades a system that is very successful does not bother posting signals to public forums unless they are ultimately trying to sell something. This is just silly.
Forum: Commodities Apr 30, 2010, 4:20am
Replies: 53
Views: 4,762
Posted By TWI
Re: Gold crude forex calls/views

Think being long gold still holds merit. Things are getting a bit shakey out there and the solution will be even more debt. Ultimately being in cash, as anybody holding STG or EUR has experieced is...
Forum: Trading Systems Apr 30, 2010, 4:17am
Replies: 28
Views: 4,234
Posted By TWI
Re: Sharpe Ratio

Check the system result against your own calculation. Tradestation does this if you run a system on intraday data the figure it spits out has no relatioship to monthly sharpe.
Forum: Commodities Dec 12, 2009, 4:14pm
Replies: 29
Views: 4,913
Posted By TWI
Re: Buying Silver

The best place to buy physical gold and silver in my opinion is
www.bullionvault.com
I have used them, the markets are liquid, the product physical and you can trade in multiple currencies and...
Forum: Commodities Dec 12, 2009, 4:07pm
Replies: 10
Views: 1,960
Posted By TWI
Re: CME Crude Oil Long term long position

If I were you I would forget the idea of investing in the front month contract. If you look at the crude market there is tightness developing from Q32010 and by 2011 we are probably approaching a...
Forum: Discretionary Trading Oct 10, 2009, 6:10pm
Replies: 83
Views: 6,394
Posted By TWI
Reduce position size and give yourself some...

Reduce position size and give yourself some breathing space.
Forum: The Foyer Oct 10, 2009, 6:08pm
Replies: 100
Views: 5,053
Posted By TWI
A celibate clergy is an especially good idea,...

A celibate clergy is an especially good idea, because it tends to suppress any hereditary propensity toward fanaticism.

Life is but a momentary glimpse of the wonder of this astonishing universe,...
Forum: General Trading Chat Oct 6, 2009, 6:59pm
Replies: 43
Views: 2,855
Posted By TWI
That is a tough one if you do not have a lot of...

That is a tough one if you do not have a lot of spare time because you are competing with those who do this all day every day. good luck.
Forum: Commodities Oct 6, 2009, 6:54pm
Replies: 172
Views: 11,301
Posted By TWI
Change can also be seen as something positive....

Change can also be seen as something positive. The process of major change is always painful and consideration of the short term consequences is without doubt frightening but throughout history,...
Forum: Commodities Oct 6, 2009, 6:01pm
Replies: 172
Views: 11,301
Posted By TWI
Haha....You realise however that on a back...

Haha....You realise however that on a back adjusted basis gold was around 1000$ in 1982? (in 1980 it was even up above $1600) If you have been scale down buying since then you are certainly a hero...
Forum: General Trading Chat Oct 6, 2009, 5:51pm
Replies: 43
Views: 2,855
Posted By TWI
In my experience systems have a very small edge...

In my experience systems have a very small edge in the market and what this means in reality is that you need to execute them precisely. Over time when you combine execution costs and even a single...
Forum: General Trading Chat Oct 6, 2009, 5:38pm
Replies: 156
Views: 7,733
Posted By TWI
correct money management can probably provide an...

correct money management can probably provide an edge when applied to random data series and is significant in trending markets.
Forum: Commodities Oct 6, 2009, 1:18pm
Replies: 2
Views: 680
Posted By TWI
H/J spread has always been of interest but other...

H/J spread has always been of interest but other than the typical technical methods or scalping that you would use anywhere else the edge is really in knowing the physical business. This is how John...
Forum: Commodities Oct 6, 2009, 12:35pm
Replies: 172
Views: 11,301
Posted By TWI
Hi Atilla! yes, it has been easy to ride it as an...

Hi Atilla! yes, it has been easy to ride it as an unleveraged position sat in a vault, certainly easier than fiddling about trying to trade in and out of the trend with leveraged financial products.
Forum: Economic & Fundamental Analysis Oct 6, 2009, 12:30pm
Replies: 94
Views: 6,634
Posted By TWI
Despite the evidence presented that Spain is...

Despite the evidence presented that Spain is going in the crapper property on the Costa Brava is still stubbornly well supported. I keep watching, expecting the bargain of the century but it...
Forum: First Steps Oct 6, 2009, 12:25pm
Replies: 4
Views: 712
Posted By TWI
Gold should only make you nervous at these levels...

Gold should only make you nervous at these levels if you have alternative tangiblle investments. I don not think it should if you have cash deposits in $ particularly. The $ is going in the tank so...
Forum: Commodities Oct 6, 2009, 11:18am
Replies: 172
Views: 11,301
Posted By TWI
I been long gold for years. Actually must be some...

I been long gold for years. Actually must be some ancient posts on this forum discussing it. I am not getting out any time soon. All I see now is growing confirmation of its undervalued nature in a...
Forum: First Steps Jun 11, 2009, 7:00am
Replies: 15
Views: 959
Posted By TWI
Yes, and unless you understand why this is I...

Yes, and unless you understand why this is I suggest you stick to the property market.
The game is less about whether to go long or short and more about where to put a stop, when to move a stop and...
Forum: Meetups Mar 3, 2009, 10:18am
Replies: 964
Views: 47,415
Posted By TWI
You can't convince a believer of anything; for...

You can't convince a believer of anything; for their belief is not based on evidence, it's based on a deep seated need to believe.

Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence - Carl Sagan
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