Currency Forwards

This is a discussion on Currency Forwards within the Money Markets forums, part of the Trading Choices category; Well there's got to be some trade off between yield and credit risk and there're other govvies out there with ...

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Old Jul 5, 2012, 7:04am   #25
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Well there's got to be some trade off between yield and credit risk and there're other govvies out there with same denomination but less chance of restructure looming. What am I missing?
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Old Jul 5, 2012, 7:24am   #26
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Originally Posted by scose-no-doubt View Post
Well there's got to be some trade off between yield and credit risk and there're other govvies out there with same denomination but less chance of restructure looming. What am I missing?
You're missing the price... Those other govvies out there are a lot more expensive.
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Old Jul 5, 2012, 7:39am   #27
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fair enough...
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Old Jul 5, 2012, 10:23am   #28
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Originally Posted by Martinghoul View Post
There's no such thing... There are FRAs that trade in each ccy, but they trade independently.

When you trade FX fwds (aka FX swaps), you will be trading a forward exchange rate. That rate is driven by the interest rate parity relationship. That is what the OP is referring to and that's not really related to FRAs. Sometimes people use the term "forward points" or just "forwards".

So, in answer to the original question, the fwd can decline not just because of the spot moving, but also because the pricing of the expected relative interest rates in the market has changed. For instance, you could see this occurring recently in EURDKK.
Thanks much. Very helpful.
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