Perfect Wave - 2011-Q4

snowrider

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I am starting a new thread for 2011 Q4 (Oct - Dec), including EUR, SP, Gold, and JPY. My wave counts of last quarter can be found from:
http://www.trade2win.com/boards/us-indices/129120-perfect-wave-2011-q3.html

Elliott Wave reference can be found from:
Elliott Wave Principle - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

My labeling for wave degrees in different time frames:
Monthly – [[]], [[[II]]], [[[III]]], [[[IV]]], [[[V]]], [[[A]]], [[]], [[[C]]]
Monthly – [], [[II]], [[III]], [[IV]], [[V]], [[A]], [], [[C]]
Weekly – , [II], [III], [IV], [V], [A], , [C]
Weekly – I, II, III, IV, V, A, B, C
Daily – 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, a, b, c
Daily – _1, _2, _3, _4, _5, _a, _b, _c
Hourly – __1, __2, __3, __4, __5, __a, __b, __c
 
10/01/2011 Monthly Charts

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10/05/2010

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10/16/2011

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Would you say the S&P 500 will be about 1160 by the end of this week ?
 
Would you say the S&P 500 will be about 1160 by the end of this week ?

Pat - I know that you are very good at weekly guessing (that I cannot beat). My guess of SP cash index for the close of 10/21/2011 (Friday) is 1165 if you want me to make a guess.
 
Pat - I know that you are very good at weekly guessing (that I cannot beat). My guess of SP cash index for the close of 10/21/2011 (Friday) is 1165 if you want me to make a guess.

Thanks - hope you will have a go on the weekly comp ?

Nice graphs
 
Last edited:
10/22/2011

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10/29/2011

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It's not Elliott Wave?
There are two forecast lines, one grey and one purple, which one you will trade on?
Also, for SPX why you are sure 1285 will be reversal point?
How did u decided each wave's amplitude? by Fib?
Sorry for so many questions.
 
11/01/2011 Gold Intraday

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It's not Elliott Wave?
There are two forecast lines, one grey and one purple, which one you will trade on?
...

jackypw - Good questions! It *IS* Elliott Wave! The purple line is my preferred count, and the grey line is my alternative count. I trade on the purple line. If the market goes against my assumption, then the grey line takes over becomes my preferred count.

...
Also, for SPX why you are sure 1285 will be reversal point?
...

It is not 1285 the "reversal point", but actually 1295 area (Thursday's hi was 1293) was the reversal point. Why? You won't believe if I tell you that was just my guess. If you really want a reason (out of many reasons), then here is one... The selloff in July officially started from falling below 1295. When the market surged back to that area last week, people lost their mind and forgot where the big selling was from.

...
How did u decided each wave's amplitude? by Fib?
Sorry for so many questions.

There are some rules in EW Principle. For example, wave-3 won't be the shortest. Of course, Fibonacci number plays a very important role on predicting turning points.
 
11/05/2011

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11/12/2011

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11/17/2011 SP Intraday

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11/19/2011

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11/23/2011 SP Intraday

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11/26/2011

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12/03/2011

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