Quote:
Originally Posted by meanreversion Or in other words, why do trends exist? Isn't a trend just the market manifestation of sentiment..? |
Markets, just like the weather, are driven by Chaos Theory. Initial conditions spark things off and pre-determine what comes later, and when - The Butterfly Effect. It all appears random but it's not.
This is how I have traded for years. It's hard work and difficult and can't be automated, but it's also totally spooky.
Indicators are useless most of the time. When you can see the next turn coming and look what indicators are saying, you realise that they mostly have no meaning other than being a rear-view mirror.
What people call sentiment, supply and demand, MM behaviour etc are just responses, not causes. The
cause for a rally, reversal, gap, acceleration, or consolidation was determined way before it ever started, as was the
actual time when it would start and end.
OK I'm sure this sounds like balony, and especially because I'm not about to explain how to do it. You'll just have to believe me and save yourself the effort of looking elsewhere..... or not :-)
I'm not saying this is the only way to trade, of course it isn't, and for those who have a successful method, stick to it, because this way is hard graft and ideally you need two people to do it, but it is what moves the markets.
Glenn