Follow the Smart Money / COT Analysis

This is a discussion on Follow the Smart Money / COT Analysis within the Futures & Options forums, part of the Markets category; Originally Posted by russian_trader Hi! What you think about oil market? I would no be surprised to see oil further ...

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Old Dec 5, 2017, 4:18pm   #321
Joined Jul 2012
Dunstan started this thread
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Originally Posted by russian_trader View Post
Hi! What you think about oil market?
I would no be surprised to see oil further rise even if we have this all time bearish extreme in the market. I remember back in 2007 when there was a similar situation, but prices still went higher.

All the best,
Dunstan
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Old Dec 11, 2017, 12:39pm   #322
Joined Jul 2012
Dunstan started this thread Hi everyone,

The latest Commitments of Traders review is out.

S&P-500
COT Change (52W) / C – 33%, LS – 25%, SS – 39% /
Bearish cot change signal and bearish extreme, but I’d pass… Indexes are simply too risky to short now I believe…

Curde Oil
COT Extreme / C, LS – All Time COT extreme /
The all time cot extreme in CL has risen to even greater levels, but price has not yet fallen too deep.

S&P-400
COT Extreme / C – All Time COT extreme /
All Time cot extreme in Commercials, supporting S&P-500 bearish bias...

All the best,
Dunstan

COT Charts
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Old Dec 27, 2017, 10:42am   #323
Joined Jul 2012
Dunstan started this thread Hi everyone,

The latest Commitments of Traders review is out.

Australian Dollar
COT Change (52W) / C – 45%, LS – 59%, SS – 12% /
Both of our major cot signals are showing positive signs for the market: we have had a major change in Traders positions and with it we have reached a considerable bullish stress level. I would say that the chances are high for further increase.

Coffee
COT Extreme / C, LS – All Time COT extreme /
The picture speaks for itself! Beautiful bullish extreme close to support levels.

30-Year Bond
COT Extreme / LS – 679 report COT extreme /
Interesting to see such a large bearish extreme when prices are not actually that high… I wouldn’t be betting large on further declines, but who knows. I would rather look for other opportunities that are more obvious (like coffee for example).

All the best,
Dunstan

COT Charts
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Old Jan 8, 2018, 11:42am   #324
Joined Jul 2012
Dunstan started this thread Hi everyone,

The latest Commitments of Traders review is out.

S&P-500
COT Change (52W) / C – 26%, LS – 28%, SS – 15% /
Not only do we have a bearish cot change signal in the market, but we have the extreme risen to pretty large levels again. The cot report is definitely backing the notion that we are in a bubble

Euro
COT Extreme / C, LS – All Time COT extreme /
We have never seen Large Speculators being so bullish about Euro in the past, so we can assume that it is likely we will see an end to rally in Euro soon…

Heating Oil
COT Extreme / C, LS – All Time COT extreme /
The picture is pretty clear here as well… (ohh I just love these all-time cot extreme signals…) We should start positioning ourselves for a more bearish market to come

All the best,
Dunstan

COT Charts
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Old Jan 15, 2018, 7:35pm   #325
Joined Jul 2012
Dunstan started this thread Hi everyone,

The latest Commitments of Traders review is out.

S&P-500
COT Change (52W) / C – 35%, LS – 53%, SS – 10% /
One word: Crazy…

Euro
COT Extreme / C, LS – All Time COT extreme /
As the market moved further up, the extreme has become even greater… The question is not IF it is going to burst, but WHEN?

Heating Oil
COT Extreme / LS – All Time COT extreme /
Not much changed from last week. Prices could not gain too much, but the extreme became larger.

All the best,
Dunstan

COT Charts
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