Any Safe Soccer Betting Strategy ?

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Hellooooooooo brudderz.............:cheesy:

any safe soccer betting strategy to recommend ?:clap:

i'm not looking for tips but a mechanical strategy that can consistently make some profit............i know it's not gonna make me a millionaire.........:cheesy:
 
Hellooooooooo brudderz.............:cheesy:

any safe soccer betting strategy to recommend ?:clap:

i'm not looking for tips but a mechanical strategy that can consistently make some profit............i know it's not gonna make me a millionaire.........:cheesy:

I wouldn't waste too much time looking if I were you bruv init.
 
Hellooooooooo brudderz.............:cheesy:

any safe soccer betting strategy to recommend ?:clap:

i'm not looking for tips but a mechanical strategy that can consistently make some profit............i know it's not gonna make me a millionaire.........:cheesy:


umm - safest bet is dont bet at all

N
 
If you're risking hard-earned cash on a bet, at least back a team you can count on to score. Try and avoid encounters between mediocre teams who sit in the middle of the league table. Often these matches are most unpredictable: a home win, away win and draw are all feasible results.
An alternative is to look for powerful, high scoring teams that have no trouble finding the back of the net. These are often the elite clubs of a league: Bayern Munich, AC Milan, Barcelona etc. But this is what most amateur punters do, so the bookies will almost always offer poor odds on the best teams.
A better strategy is to bet against extremely weak teams. Every league has one or two hopeless sides who lose every weekend. These bottom-dwellers are sometimes given too much credit by the bookmakers. Look for a situation where a decent or even below average club is playing at home against a dreadfully bad away team (one of those clubs that's 0-1-9 on the road for example). The bookie will often set the odds on the home side slightly below even money, say at 1.75 when it should really be much lower, like 1.50. Similarly the Asian Handicap will be -3/4 ball when it should be at least -1. If you can identify the whipping boys of a league, this is exactly the sort of situation where it's profitable to bet against them.
Believe it or not, luck can play a role in this type of strategy. Talented teams make their own luck and find a way to win (how many times have we seen Juventus or Chelsea sneak a 90th minute goal and win 1-0?). On the flip side, weak teams are often unlucky and the bounces just seem to go against them.
 
Hellooooooooo brudderz.............:cheesy:

any safe soccer betting strategy to recommend ?:clap:

i'm not looking for tips but a mechanical strategy that can consistently make some profit............i know it's not gonna make me a millionaire.........:cheesy:

Aiight brap brap, nuf love.

Safe bredren init.
 
I've never studied it myself but how about backing the team top of the league to win their next game. Most amateur gamblers will be backing the underdogs looking for the big pay-offs.

The odds for each game will be fairly poor but over the course of the season but if there are enough amateurs pushing up the pay-off for the favourite then the system will come out ahead.

A slight tweak would be maintain a league table of each team's last 5 results to bias the system towards the team with the best recent form.
 
As you say, the odds will be fairly poor but that is for a reason. Over the course of a season, you'll probably break even. Take for instance Chelsea's performance this season so far - you've had made a few losses before a win yesterday with just 1.4(?) as an SP. So you'd have taken 5 100% losses or so if you'd backed Chelsea to win over the last 3 months and made back maybe 30%.

The market is pretty efficient apart from those times when something unexpected happens.
 
I've never studied it myself but how about backing the team top of the league to win their next game. Most amateur gamblers will be backing the underdogs looking for the big pay-offs.

The odds for each game will be fairly poor but over the course of the season but if there are enough amateurs pushing up the pay-off for the favourite then the system will come out ahead.

A slight tweak would be maintain a league table of each team's last 5 results to bias the system towards the team with the best recent form.

My system uses a whole combination of data (recent goals, shots, performance against good/bad teams etc) to estimate probability of win, not just last 5 results. My experience is that this kind of strategy is really difficult to make work - the implied odds for English football games are scarily close to the reality when looking over a long period of time (wisdom of crowds) so even if you find an edge it will be really really small.

My advice is to stick to financial markets!
 
Hellooooooooo brudderz.............:cheesy:

any safe soccer betting strategy to recommend ?:clap:

i'm not looking for tips but a mechanical strategy that can consistently make some profit............i know it's not gonna make me a millionaire.........:cheesy:

Hi....tips from a professional soccerpunter...bet against e public...the more bad publicity it gets in e press or news e higher chance it will win. you will have better odds winfull loss less.

you need to be able to read e odds to a have a chance of survival.... not forgetting soccerbetting u have to pay juice to your bookie its a negative game. :clap:
 
Probably the best method is laying UK favourite teams when playing away as long as the odds are under evens. That would have made you 12 points profit this year!
 
Hellooooooooo brudderz.............:cheesy:

any safe soccer betting strategy to recommend ?:clap:

i'm not looking for tips but a mechanical strategy that can consistently make some profit............i know it's not gonna make me a millionaire.........:cheesy:

don't listen to all the -there is no!
the truth is that I have a nice strategy that makes money on the long run. and as You said it will not make you a millionare.
but right now I don't sell it. maybe someday and only if I will get a nice price for it.

cheers
 
The ‘safest’ or most efficient betting strategy I find looks at the amount of goals in a match rather than a specific result. If you are looking to back a team you need to know a lot more specific information right up to the team line-up. The amount of goals I believe can be predicted simply through statistics as teams will tend to play in a certain way, even with certain players missing.

I will consider a range of statistics when trading however a basic example would be if you want over 2.5 goals in a match. Look for matches where both teams will score and not just looking for one team to score the three or more goals. Both teams’ games need to average over 2.5 goals for the season. Then look at the recent form of the two teams in terms of goals scored and conceded and make your decision.

In terms of trading in play on this market, you have greater control because the markets always react at same level, relative to the initial price when the match kicks off, so you have several options when considering trading out.

This is how I normally trade in this market - http://dukesportstrading.blogspot.com/.
 
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i would of expected more positive responses to this question ,especially on this forum ,,anyway anyway ,,you need a flexible system for a constant return on betfair and youl need escape strategys by the bucket load aswell ,,write them down and use them ,,,u can go basic and pick something like next goal for top teams who havent scored in a game and back till it hits,,yaya some people will say thats the path to ruin but teams like man u arsenal man city and such will score a goal before you go broke if you stake it proper ,,or a complex system like backing over 2.5 undr 1.5 ,,,adjust at HTusing the CS market and around 75 min,,,try leaning on the over 2.5 side ,i cant teach you the ins and outs just play with it ,,its profitable ,,,,also try lay massive favs and dutch high scores for them including AUQ ,,,i have a book of strats i use but its taken me 9 years to fill it so i aint given you anymore ,,,try use markets against each other to reach an arbitrage outcome ,,,if you feel something is priced wrong ,,work around it with different bets ie. clean sheets and 0-0 ,,over/under and totall goals scored ,,greed is the main killer on betfair ,,take the green when its available no matter how small ,,,more can become very less in a flash ,,i could talk all day about trading on betfair ,,this is just a little bit on football but betfair can be profitable if your totally disciplined ,,simple as that
 
Hellooooooooo brudderz.............:cheesy:

any safe soccer betting strategy to recommend ?:clap:

i'm not looking for tips but a mechanical strategy that can consistently make some profit............i know it's not gonna make me a millionaire.........:cheesy:

yep.......
 
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