Could the Weimar Hyperinflation Happen Again in America?

This is a discussion on Could the Weimar Hyperinflation Happen Again in America? within the Economic & Fundamental Analysis forums, part of the Methods category; Hyperinflation Special Report Some good charts on the subject here....

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Old Aug 11, 2009, 1:46am   #183
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Hyperinflation Special Report

Some good charts on the subject here.
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Old Aug 11, 2009, 6:27pm   #184
 
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Inflation Not a Problem "Deflationary Depression" in Our Future Prechter Says: Tech Ticker, Yahoo! Finance
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Old Aug 12, 2009, 1:15pm   #185
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Cheap oil is a thing of the past. This is one of the reasons that we are not going to see deflation for more than a short period. Supply can no longer exceed demand when it attempts to rise. Consequences do not bear thinking about.

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Old Aug 14, 2009, 11:07pm   #186
 
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CPI unchanged today, this inflation is WILD
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"Let me issue and control a nation's money and I care not who writes the laws." Mayer Amschel Rothschild

Bullsh!t, Bearsh!t all smells the same to me!

"It is not cheap to develop automated systems , mine already cost over $1m. " oildaytrader
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Old Aug 15, 2009, 2:11am   #187
 
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http://finance.yahoo.com/tech-ticker...Such-Good-News

this guy is spot on IMO
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"Let me issue and control a nation's money and I care not who writes the laws." Mayer Amschel Rothschild

Bullsh!t, Bearsh!t all smells the same to me!

"It is not cheap to develop automated systems , mine already cost over $1m. " oildaytrader
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Old Aug 15, 2009, 7:55am   #188
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The FED announcement on bond purchases ending and the "deflation" figures are designed to bring interest rates down. Risk aversion. This means the US govt see serious problems ahead. They are doing anything they can to get the public spending again, cash for clunkers, help with mortgages etc, but GDP is still negative. Banks are still insolvent despite trillions of dollars thrown at them. Property prices are still collapsing and with option arm resets taking effect they are going to carry on down. Commercial real estate is a disaster now happening. Business lenders are going bankrupt. Bailout and stimuli plans have failed. All markets have been propped up with printed and borrowed money. Its a big ponzi scheme about to unravel.
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Old Aug 16, 2009, 10:01pm   #189
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Originally Posted by poborsky View Post
Cheap oil is a thing of the past. This is one of the reasons that we are not going to see deflation for more than a short period. Supply can no longer exceed demand when it attempts to rise. Consequences do not bear thinking about.
The peak oil situation doesn't matter yet. We saw a drop in demand in the last year so the supply/demand situation is not critical. Oil markets are pricing in future demand, due to a rise in stock markets, rather than a return to demand.

The inflation v deflation argument is to do with timing- the markets are IN a deflationary situation now so the question is how long. Inflation is an afterthought for maybe a year or two down the line.

Excess capacity is being removed from the system and its too early to know when this will end.
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